Lord Sneeze - Team Diary

[LordSneeze]

That is a massive D1,D2 spend in defense.

Shaw was tagged heavily in the 2nd half of last season and average 87.5 from round 14 to the preliminary final. He will be tagged every week and is overpriced massively. Personally I have never considered starting him this year which will be against what a lot of people are doing.

Can Docherty score at a level which will see him be worth the spend if he does not move into the midfield? 600k for a defender is a massive spend.

Selwood does not play a game in Geelong until round 9. Take out the Simonds Stadium games and he averaged 100 last year. I think he is a better upgrade option.

I'd be looking at dropping one of Docherty or Shaw to Adams and upgrading Selwood to Dangerfield.

Ballsy rucks but both are number 1 rucks and hard to ignore the obvious value.

The rest of the side has a lot of mid price risk but every side has those risks this year if rookies are not named.

Strong side.

I don't believe teams will tag Shaw. The end of last year he was not heavily tagged in all games, there was only a few where that occurred and it impacted his scoring, but he marks, tackles, and has good disposal highly reliant on kicking. That means even when he is he scores poorly it is unlikely he will go under 80 very often.
He has averaged over 90 for 11 straight years including 6 over 100. Ignoring that because of 2 games under 80 at the end of last year is crazy.

Docherty IMO is going to be the highest scoring defender again this year, he doesn't need to be in the mids to score well as was evident last year. His stats were similar to Shaw, with a few extra handballs instead of kicks. Doc actually went at a better % DE by foot than Shaw. He also proved he didn't need 25 disposals to score 90, with improvement I can see him maintaining. His variances were also fairly low, so I don't expect him to drop in price much.

To be honest I didn't know that Selwood stat, He is the one that I have been looking to move if anyone anyway, if I can manage to get danger in without impacting my other picks then that would be great. Need to look at my bye structure and see what would be the best premium to take.

Im not taking Adams, injury history and niggles over Preseason. Add in the injury risks and MP risks on other lines and im taking the premiums that are durable.

Rucks are risky yes, but that is the reason for Nank in the FWDS. Witts should make 200k and score as well as any rookie you could pick. Sandi's value is just too good to pass on.

Not sure where the rest of the mid prce risk comment comes from
Beams - Don't see big risk there
Higgins - To me he is better value than Steele as he has the potential to be a premium where I see Steele as an 85 max.
Roughy - Tempted to get rid of him for a rookie and see what I can do with that extra cash.

[Bully]

Nice and very similar to my own. Here's the head to head match ups.

Danger vs Kennedy
Pendles vs Hannebery
O'Meara vs Selwood
Swallow vs Mitchell
Macrae vs Hoskin-Elliott
Ryder vs Taranto

[LordSneeze]

Nice and very similar to my own. Here's the head to head match ups.

Danger (120) vs Kennedy (110)
Pendles (115) vs Hannebery (110)
O'Meara (90) vs Selwood (110)
Swallow (80) vs Mitchell (105)
Macrae (95) vs Hoskin-Elliott (75)
Ryder (90) vs Taranto (75)
590 vs 585

You don't have much cash left id assume. Maybe 5k?
I still have $70k in the bank.

Id say your slightly ahead in points potential, but im ahead in cash generation and 1 extra guaranteed premo (id say Ryder may or may not be a premium).

[Bully]

Nice and very similar to my own. Here's the head to head match ups.

Danger (120) vs Kennedy (110)
Pendles (115) vs Hannebery (110)
O'Meara (90) vs Selwood (110)
Swallow (80) vs Mitchell (105)
Macrae (95) vs Hoskin-Elliott (75)
Ryder (90) vs Taranto (75)
590 vs 585

You don't have much cash left id assume. Maybe 5k?
I still have $70k in the bank.

Id say your slightly ahead in points potential, but im ahead in cash generation and 1 extra guaranteed premo (id say Ryder may or may not be a premium).

I have $1,500 left so not much wiggle room.

[LordSneeze]

3 Changes made

Doc to Rance
Roughy to Steele
Selwood to Danger

$32k in the bank

[Ringo]

Gee teams looking very similar these days in prems

Our Differences at the moment
Shaw v Howe
Kennedy v Selwood
Pendles v Treloar
Titchell v O'Meara
Witts v Martin
Franklin v Higgins
Roughie v Steele.

Think this year more tan ever those that complete teams early will be in box seat.

[LordSneeze]

Gee teams looking very similar these days in prems

Our Differences at the moment
Shaw v Howe
Kennedy v Selwood
Pendles v Treloar
Titchell v O'Meara
Witts v Martin
Franklin v Higgins
Roughie v Steele.

Think this year more tan ever those that complete teams early will be in box seat.

This is not right, I think you muddles up some of the difference. In any case I made a few since my last posted team and will be posting the full team at the end of the weekend

[Ringo]

Gee teams looking very similar these days in prems

Our Differences at the moment
Shaw v Howe
Kennedy v Selwood
Pendles v Treloar
Titchell v O'Meara
Witts v Martin
Franklin v Higgins
Roughie v Steele.

Think this year more tan ever those that complete teams early will be in box seat.

This is not right, I think you muddles up some of the difference. In any case I made a few since my last posted team and will be posting the full team at the end of the weekend

Sure Did this is my correct take after reading thread

Shaw v Howe
Kennedy v Selwood
Treloar v Jelwood
Titchell v O'Meara
Witts v Martin
Higgins v Franklin
Steele v Roughie.

Couple of rookies different but did not quote them.

[LordSneeze]

A bit late on the Update,

but R1 Update

Starting Team


Score 2222
Captain Danger, No loopholes
Week Rank 12916
Overall Rank 12916

[LordSneeze]

R2 Team



Score 2260
Captain Danger, Otten Loophole
Week Rank 9269
Overall Rank 5256 (-7660)

The good - Most of my team
The bad - Shaw, JPK, Hanners
Really i see only 3 poor premium scores as a negative this week, but they are premiums for a reason, bar Hanners im not at all worried. The MP selections all performed well or at worst got a passing grade. Rookies all played bar Hibberd, who i used as a loophole for Otten. Pickett and Parfitt probably haven't scored aswell as id hoped, but all they need is 1 game at 70 or a few 60s and they will make 150k.

Structure
Def - Im very happy here, hibberd being held and a potential rookie correction with him next week.
Mids - Worried slightly about Hanners, Pickett and Parfitt aren't scoring to the level i would like.
Rucks - Im happy here as i have the Fwd cover in Nank if needed
Fwds - Very happy with everyone.

Trades Thoughts
So i see a very few issues with my team currently.
1 - Missing Houston
2 - Hanners
3 - Pickett & Parfitt poor scoring

I do not want to sideways Hanners, i see that as just a waste of a trade.
Pickett and Parfitt only need 1 good game to start making reasonable cash.

I could bring in Houston for Hanners, Pickett or Parfitt and Swing Taranto into the mids fixing 2 of the issues.
Pickett/Parfitt - Taranto on bench, Hanners on Field, Houston on field. (32k in the Bank) - Hanners held for full year barring injury no matter his scoring, if he isnt traded this week the boat has sailed. If he doesn't improve he becomes the M9.
Hanners - Taranto on field, Houston on Field, Pickett/Parfitt on Bench (532k in the Bank) - Option to evaluate who i upgrade too as i feel the other 6 will be keepers. Wouldn't require an extra trade as the large downgrade offsets the additional need for a downgrade later.

Another option is Preuss in for Strandica, but not sure the value is worth it.

What is everyone thoughts? Ill update what i decide to do once its fully locked in.

[Capper]

I'm in the same boat regarding Parfitt and Picket.

I want to trade Pickett but with Guthrie, Kolo and Scooter ready to play, does Parfitt keep his spot??

I had Eddy and Preuss but traded them out to Strndico and Hannan before they came back as a late in. Wanted to get Hannan, Butler and Houston in to the team.

[LordSneeze]

I'm in the same boat regarding Parfitt and Picket.

I want to trade Pickett but with Guthrie, Kolo and Scooter ready to play, does Parfitt keep his spot??

I had Eddy and Preuss but traded them out to Strndico and Hannan before they came back as a late in. Wanted to get Hannan, Butler and Houston in to the team.

Im worried bout both of the job security which is why im learning towards one of them to Houston. Hanners is a premium and worst case senario i work towards having him M9 come years end.

If Either pickett & Parfitt dropped i loophole Taranto with Barrett
If eddy is dropped  can loophole Butler with Houston
Jenkins unlikely to play so Otten on field if named.

[Capper]

Eddy was a late inclusion for Hartlet who is likely to return.

I think Butler, Houston, Pickett & Florent have better JS than Eddy, Preuss, Parfitt and the other Swans rookies

With Preuss he will be in and out all year. Daw, Brown and Goldy all had scans on Monday

I wouldnt worry about Hanners, he will drop in price but they all do. He will be back to his best sooner than later

[Ringo]

I am too worried about Hanners role - He seems to be playing more down the wing so far this year. So not sure whether this is a change in role or just precautionary at this stage.
Predicted to drop around 60k after this week as well. Started as a premium so do you keep him or trade before huge price drop if change in role is permananet. Decisions.

[King_Robbo]

I am too worried about Hanners role - He seems to be playing more down the wing so far this year. So not sure whether this is a change in role or just precautionary at this stage.
Predicted to drop around 60k after this week as well. Started as a premium so do you keep him or trade before huge price drop if change in role is permananet. Decisions.

I don't have Hanners which is lucky because I was extremely tempted as he is a gun, but if I did have him I'd most likely hold.. the two poor scores are done now and it's very easy to look back as opposed to looking forward.. If you think he can average 110 from here (which he's easily done in his past two years) then hold..
And he'll be a some what POD after this round..