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Australian Survivor *SPOILERS INSIDE*

Started by Spite, August 21, 2016, 10:43:59 PM

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Jukes

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 18, 2016, 03:50:27 PM
Quote from: Jukes on October 18, 2016, 03:36:59 PM
I'm not sure, but I think Kristie has lead the fan favourite leaderboard on ten for pretty much the whole show, which may be why she was priced so low - still leads it with 45% of the vote

Yeah but the fans don't vote on who wins so it wouldn't influence bookies at all

Result was clearly leaked

Person who sets the odds may not have even watched/followed the show and just gone to a fan leaderboard/favourites thing. My mind says that if the result was actually leaked why wouldn't they either put her at $1.03 or something or cancel the whole market asap? Bit of an ethical issue

jvalles69

Quote from: Jukes on October 18, 2016, 04:09:33 PM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 18, 2016, 03:50:27 PM
Quote from: Jukes on October 18, 2016, 03:36:59 PM
I'm not sure, but I think Kristie has lead the fan favourite leaderboard on ten for pretty much the whole show, which may be why she was priced so low - still leads it with 45% of the vote

Yeah but the fans don't vote on who wins so it wouldn't influence bookies at all

Result was clearly leaked

Person who sets the odds may not have even watched/followed the show and just gone to a fan leaderboard/favourites thing. My mind says that if the result was actually leaked why wouldn't they either put her at $1.03 or something or cancel the whole market asap? Bit of an ethical issue

Kirstie was basically at those odds before anyone knew about the characters personalities.  Ethics and gambling prob can't be used in the same sentence.  However, the fact that the odds have disappeared since about 4 weeks ago gives me another reason to think it was leaked.  Also in the terms of the market "result may or may not be already known".  Straight up BS.

RaisyDaisy

Yeah, she was $1.40 so early in the piece when anyone who was watching could see she was at the bottom and appeared to be out in a matter of time. No way you can offer those odds based of what has only been seen on TV

It's just annoying because the result has been spoiled - well at least the final 2

Spite

Quote from: Jukes on October 18, 2016, 04:09:33 PM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 18, 2016, 03:50:27 PM
Quote from: Jukes on October 18, 2016, 03:36:59 PM
I'm not sure, but I think Kristie has lead the fan favourite leaderboard on ten for pretty much the whole show, which may be why she was priced so low - still leads it with 45% of the vote

Yeah but the fans don't vote on who wins so it wouldn't influence bookies at all

Result was clearly leaked

Person who sets the odds may not have even watched/followed the show and just gone to a fan leaderboard/favourites thing. My mind says that if the result was actually leaked why wouldn't they either put her at $1.03 or something or cancel the whole market asap? Bit of an ethical issue

You're a smart guy, you think the bookmaker would just go to a fan forum to set odds when there is money involved? There's a lot more to it and considering every production member on set knows the final two, you can guarantee someone's told a mate to throw some cash at a certain player, hence resulting in crunched odds.

jvalles69

Quote from: Spite on October 19, 2016, 11:59:38 PM
Quote from: Jukes on October 18, 2016, 04:09:33 PM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 18, 2016, 03:50:27 PM
Quote from: Jukes on October 18, 2016, 03:36:59 PM
I'm not sure, but I think Kristie has lead the fan favourite leaderboard on ten for pretty much the whole show, which may be why she was priced so low - still leads it with 45% of the vote

Yeah but the fans don't vote on who wins so it wouldn't influence bookies at all

Result was clearly leaked

Person who sets the odds may not have even watched/followed the show and just gone to a fan leaderboard/favourites thing. My mind says that if the result was actually leaked why wouldn't they either put her at $1.03 or something or cancel the whole market asap? Bit of an ethical issue

You're a smart guy, you think the bookmaker would just go to a fan forum to set odds when there is money involved? There's a lot more to it and considering every production member on set knows the final two, you can guarantee someone's told a mate to throw some cash at a certain player, hence resulting in crunched odds.

This happened on the last season of the Bachelor, a guy put 10K on his ex to win and the odds came cashing down, ppl followed this and that chick didn't win in the end, she was runner up.  Don't think the same thing will happen here, Kristie's won it.

RaisyDaisy

Flick and Matt just can't win imo. Won't get the votes from jury

Lee, El and Kristie the only chance, and if Kristie, Flick and Matt team up this week to knock off Lee or El then Kristie is a mere lock

Either way, gotta think the jury will admire Kristie's solo game and vote her

Grazz

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 20, 2016, 08:46:26 AM
Flick and Matt just can't win imo. Won't get the votes from jury

Lee, El and Kristie the only chance, and if Kristie, Flick and Matt team up this week to knock off Lee or El then Kristie is a mere lock

Either way, gotta think the jury will admire Kristie's solo game and vote her

For someone that has barely had any resemblance of an alliance for the entire show she has done an a great job to still be there and has won me over, I hope the rumours are correct and she does take it out. Thoroughly deserves it more than any other still there.

jvalles69

Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 09:38:02 AM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 20, 2016, 08:46:26 AM
Flick and Matt just can't win imo. Won't get the votes from jury

Lee, El and Kristie the only chance, and if Kristie, Flick and Matt team up this week to knock off Lee or El then Kristie is a mere lock

Either way, gotta think the jury will admire Kristie's solo game and vote her

For someone that has barely had any resemblance of an alliance for the entire show she has done an a great job to still be there and has won me over, I hope the rumours are correct and she does take it out. Thoroughly deserves it more than any other still there.

I've still got $10 on Sam winning, chance?  ::)

Grazz

Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 11:21:12 AM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 09:38:02 AM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 20, 2016, 08:46:26 AM
Flick and Matt just can't win imo. Won't get the votes from jury

Lee, El and Kristie the only chance, and if Kristie, Flick and Matt team up this week to knock off Lee or El then Kristie is a mere lock

Either way, gotta think the jury will admire Kristie's solo game and vote her

For someone that has barely had any resemblance of an alliance for the entire show she has done an a great job to still be there and has won me over, I hope the rumours are correct and she does take it out. Thoroughly deserves it more than any other still there.

I've still got $10 on Sam winning, chance?  ::)

Must be huge odds haven't seen it done by someone sitting on the jury before mate.  :P

jvalles69

Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 11:49:52 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 11:21:12 AM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 09:38:02 AM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 20, 2016, 08:46:26 AM
Flick and Matt just can't win imo. Won't get the votes from jury

Lee, El and Kristie the only chance, and if Kristie, Flick and Matt team up this week to knock off Lee or El then Kristie is a mere lock

Either way, gotta think the jury will admire Kristie's solo game and vote her

For someone that has barely had any resemblance of an alliance for the entire show she has done an a great job to still be there and has won me over, I hope the rumours are correct and she does take it out. Thoroughly deserves it more than any other still there.

I've still got $10 on Sam winning, chance?  ::)

Must be huge odds haven't seen it done by someone sitting on the jury before mate.  :P

Haha, just messing around, put the bet on early before I realised I was getting swindled by the bookies! :(

Grazz

Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 01:45:04 PM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 11:49:52 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 11:21:12 AM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 09:38:02 AM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 20, 2016, 08:46:26 AM
Flick and Matt just can't win imo. Won't get the votes from jury

Lee, El and Kristie the only chance, and if Kristie, Flick and Matt team up this week to knock off Lee or El then Kristie is a mere lock

Either way, gotta think the jury will admire Kristie's solo game and vote her

For someone that has barely had any resemblance of an alliance for the entire show she has done an a great job to still be there and has won me over, I hope the rumours are correct and she does take it out. Thoroughly deserves it more than any other still there.

I've still got $10 on Sam winning, chance?  ::)

Must be huge odds haven't seen it done by someone sitting on the jury before mate.  :P

Haha, just messing around, put the bet on early before I realised I was getting swindled by the bookies! :(

Some serious questions need to be asked if it proves that info was leaked, I'd be pissed if I'd laid a bet then found out the result was leaked and the bookies knew. >:(

jvalles69

Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 02:45:05 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 01:45:04 PM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 11:49:52 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 11:21:12 AM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 09:38:02 AM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 20, 2016, 08:46:26 AM
Flick and Matt just can't win imo. Won't get the votes from jury

Lee, El and Kristie the only chance, and if Kristie, Flick and Matt team up this week to knock off Lee or El then Kristie is a mere lock

Either way, gotta think the jury will admire Kristie's solo game and vote her

For someone that has barely had any resemblance of an alliance for the entire show she has done an a great job to still be there and has won me over, I hope the rumours are correct and she does take it out. Thoroughly deserves it more than any other still there.

I've still got $10 on Sam winning, chance?  ::)

Must be huge odds haven't seen it done by someone sitting on the jury before mate.  :P

Haha, just messing around, put the bet on early before I realised I was getting swindled by the bookies! :(

Some serious questions need to be asked if it proves that info was leaked, I'd be pissed if I'd laid a bet then found out the result was leaked and the bookies knew. >:(

It was only $10, but I reckon if I questioned them I'd get my money back.

Grazz

Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 03:09:35 PM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 02:45:05 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 01:45:04 PM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 11:49:52 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 11:21:12 AM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 09:38:02 AM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 20, 2016, 08:46:26 AM
Flick and Matt just can't win imo. Won't get the votes from jury

Lee, El and Kristie the only chance, and if Kristie, Flick and Matt team up this week to knock off Lee or El then Kristie is a mere lock

Either way, gotta think the jury will admire Kristie's solo game and vote her

For someone that has barely had any resemblance of an alliance for the entire show she has done an a great job to still be there and has won me over, I hope the rumours are correct and she does take it out. Thoroughly deserves it more than any other still there.

I've still got $10 on Sam winning, chance?  ::)

Must be huge odds haven't seen it done by someone sitting on the jury before mate.  :P

Haha, just messing around, put the bet on early before I realised I was getting swindled by the bookies! :(

Some serious questions need to be asked if it proves that info was leaked, I'd be pissed if I'd laid a bet then found out the result was leaked and the bookies knew. >:(

It was only $10, but I reckon if I questioned them I'd get my money back.

More the principle than the money @ $10 but i'd be asking for it back, flower em. Better in your pocket than theirs mate.

jvalles69

Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 03:29:44 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 03:09:35 PM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 02:45:05 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 01:45:04 PM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 11:49:52 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 11:21:12 AM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 09:38:02 AM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 20, 2016, 08:46:26 AM
Flick and Matt just can't win imo. Won't get the votes from jury

Lee, El and Kristie the only chance, and if Kristie, Flick and Matt team up this week to knock off Lee or El then Kristie is a mere lock

Either way, gotta think the jury will admire Kristie's solo game and vote her

For someone that has barely had any resemblance of an alliance for the entire show she has done an a great job to still be there and has won me over, I hope the rumours are correct and she does take it out. Thoroughly deserves it more than any other still there.

I've still got $10 on Sam winning, chance?  ::)

Must be huge odds haven't seen it done by someone sitting on the jury before mate.  :P

Haha, just messing around, put the bet on early before I realised I was getting swindled by the bookies! :(

Some serious questions need to be asked if it proves that info was leaked, I'd be pissed if I'd laid a bet then found out the result was leaked and the bookies knew. >:(

It was only $10, but I reckon if I questioned them I'd get my money back.

More the principle than the money @ $10 but i'd be asking for it back, flower em. Better in your pocket than theirs mate.

Hmm, just noticed the market is back up with Kristie paying $1.50, Lee $2.50 and the rest are outside $16.  Market was down the past few weeks.  Something fishy is up, I'll wait for the result and then complain.

Grazz

Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 03:53:00 PM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 03:29:44 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 03:09:35 PM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 02:45:05 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 01:45:04 PM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 11:49:52 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on October 20, 2016, 11:21:12 AM
Quote from: Grazz on October 20, 2016, 09:38:02 AM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on October 20, 2016, 08:46:26 AM
Flick and Matt just can't win imo. Won't get the votes from jury

Lee, El and Kristie the only chance, and if Kristie, Flick and Matt team up this week to knock off Lee or El then Kristie is a mere lock

Either way, gotta think the jury will admire Kristie's solo game and vote her

For someone that has barely had any resemblance of an alliance for the entire show she has done an a great job to still be there and has won me over, I hope the rumours are correct and she does take it out. Thoroughly deserves it more than any other still there.

I've still got $10 on Sam winning, chance?  ::)

Must be huge odds haven't seen it done by someone sitting on the jury before mate.  :P

Haha, just messing around, put the bet on early before I realised I was getting swindled by the bookies! :(

Some serious questions need to be asked if it proves that info was leaked, I'd be pissed if I'd laid a bet then found out the result was leaked and the bookies knew. >:(

It was only $10, but I reckon if I questioned them I'd get my money back.

More the principle than the money @ $10 but i'd be asking for it back, flower em. Better in your pocket than theirs mate.

Hmm, just noticed the market is back up with Kristie paying $1.50, Lee $2.50 and the rest are outside $16.  Market was down the past few weeks.  Something fishy is up, I'll wait for the result and then complain.

Haha good onya mate.  ;)