Coming 15th overall, Do I keep Grays Score as VICE?

Started by benny_fraz, April 08, 2016, 11:40:02 PM

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benny_fraz


Mat0369

Gray scored 123 after scaling by the look of it. I am leaning towards Gaz....

js19


Gigantor

lock it in

You might miss out on 30 points if GAJ goes big, not really worth it imo

eaglesman


Grufflez

hmmmm 123 is kinda no mans land, Gaz Fyfe Danger....they all have a good chance at beating 123 and a better chance of not falling far below at worst.

I'd roll the dice.

YoungGun


tigertops

I'd roll the dice too.  Still early and don't think gaz will go lower than 110. So worst case u 20-30 points....

LordSneeze

Hold sway IMO its early days and a 123 is nothing to be disappointed with as captain.

AaronKirk


sammy123

my rule is usually anything over 120 take it. but i think danger gaz fyfe are a huge chance to beat it,. but i still reckon take it in case

Woppa15

I'm having the same conundrum.
FWIW I'm rolling the dice and backing in Danger for a big one against a shaky Brisbane in his first home game at Skilled....

Ringo

My rule of thumb is 125+ lock it in and 120 - 125 maybe lock but review.  As has been said in the no mans area. 

Say Gazz or Danger go 150 you only lose 27 points and that is not a lot to worry about.  Conversely if Gazz Danger go 105 you lose 18 points.  So in this case posssilbly roll the dice.

And for the benefit of those that think the difference should be 54 here is the Maths.

Gray (c) 246 + Gazz 150 = 396
Gray 123 + Gazz (c) 300 = 423


nas

Quote from: Ringo on April 09, 2016, 09:50:35 AM
My rule of thumb is 125+ lock it in and 120 - 125 maybe lock but review.  As has been said in the no mans area. 

Say Gazz or Danger go 150 you only lose 27 points and that is not a lot to worry about.  Conversely if Gazz Danger go 105 you lose 18 points.  So in this case posssilbly roll the dice.

And for the benefit of those that think the difference should be 54 here is the Maths.

Gray (c) 246 + Gazz 150 = 396
Gray 123 + Gazz (c) 300 = 423

Yep 125+ nice rule of thumb.

Marstar

My rule ... which I've posted here in previous years is:

If your VC's score is above your C's average then lock it in.

GAJ has a > 50% chance of scoring higher than 123.

Play the %s and Go GAJ.