Mid Price Predictions

Started by fasttrack13, February 07, 2016, 12:16:52 PM

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kilbluff1985


Ricochet


MC

Quote from: Ricochet on February 12, 2016, 12:11:48 PM
Quote from: Ringo on February 12, 2016, 11:00:44 AM
I have Libba locked in and also Crouch is in but still under consideration. 

I will be watching both in the NAB cup to see how they are running after their injuries.  My cause for concern is after watching Dan Rich at close quarters last year after he came back as it appears to me anyway he had lost a couple yard of pace (was never overly quick though) but more importantly appeared to have lost some distance and accuracy with his kicks. The number of times he failed to reach the sticks from just outside 50 last season really emphasized it to me.

So as i said will be watching for any signs of diminished performance.
Guys coming back from ACLs can generally hit similar numbers. Even Rich only dropped 5pts from his average the year before his ACL, and that could be because of his move to Half Back

Goddard
2006 ave: 106
2007: ACL
2008 ave: 103

Gray
2011 ave: 91
2012: ACL
2013 ave: 91 unsubbed

Hayes
2010 ave: 103
2011: ACL
2012 ave: 102

Liberatore
2014 ave: 110
2015: ACL
2016: ??

My only concern with Libba is Minson's affect on him


Good post Rico, though it is of course a small sample size. Some other players (closer in age/experience) include:

Suckling (missed 2013) - and since hasn't broken 77 SC, a far cry from his best of 90.
Tex Walker - 99 in 2012, missed 2013 and returned in 2014 for 80 before bouncing back last year.
Griffin - 100/90/91 before missing 2013, 28 and 63 in the seasons since, hasn't made it back to best 22 though.


Another scary thought is that there are plenty of cases where the injured player has battled for years to be able to return to the field after the initial injury. Players like Morabito/Alex Johnson/Dan Menzel were all best-22 for their respective clubs but haven't been able to make it back successfully as yet.

Ricochet

Quote from: MC on February 12, 2016, 12:38:24 PM
Quote from: Ricochet on February 12, 2016, 12:11:48 PM
Quote from: Ringo on February 12, 2016, 11:00:44 AM
I have Libba locked in and also Crouch is in but still under consideration. 

I will be watching both in the NAB cup to see how they are running after their injuries.  My cause for concern is after watching Dan Rich at close quarters last year after he came back as it appears to me anyway he had lost a couple yard of pace (was never overly quick though) but more importantly appeared to have lost some distance and accuracy with his kicks. The number of times he failed to reach the sticks from just outside 50 last season really emphasized it to me.

So as i said will be watching for any signs of diminished performance.
Guys coming back from ACLs can generally hit similar numbers. Even Rich only dropped 5pts from his average the year before his ACL, and that could be because of his move to Half Back

Goddard
2006 ave: 106
2007: ACL
2008 ave: 103

Gray
2011 ave: 91
2012: ACL
2013 ave: 91 unsubbed

Hayes
2010 ave: 103
2011: ACL
2012 ave: 102

Liberatore
2014 ave: 110
2015: ACL
2016: ??

My only concern with Libba is Minson's affect on him


Good post Rico, though it is of course a small sample size. Some other players (closer in age/experience) include:

Suckling (missed 2013) - and since hasn't broken 77 SC, a far cry from his best of 90.
Tex Walker - 99 in 2012, missed 2013 and returned in 2014 for 80 before bouncing back last year.
Griffin - 100/90/91 before missing 2013, 28 and 63 in the seasons since, hasn't made it back to best 22 though.


Another scary thought is that there are plenty of cases where the injured player has battled for years to be able to return to the field after the initial injury. Players like Morabito/Alex Johnson/Dan Menzel were all best-22 for their respective clubs but haven't been able to make it back successfully as yet.
Yeh i tried to pick similar type players that go through the middle. But certainly not denying there isn't a great deal of risk

I thought Griff did a PCL??

Money Shot

Would anyone consider Polec over a Crouch or Omeara?

And what are people's thoughts on Heeney .... Played well today!

dmac07

Quote from: Money Shot on February 13, 2016, 10:39:36 AM
Would anyone consider Polec over a Crouch or Omeara?

And what are people's thoughts on Heeney .... Played well today!

Yeah, if he starts the season in good fitness, and reports say he was very good in Ports intraclub. Could average 90-95. Ill likely stay away from all 3 though, maybe just Libba

RaisyDaisy

Quote from: Money Shot on February 13, 2016, 10:39:36 AM
Would anyone consider Polec over a Crouch or Omeara?

And what are people's thoughts on Heeney .... Played well today!

I honestly think the absolute best Polec could produce would be 90-95

Not good enough for a keeper and won't make a stack of cash. Crouch and O'Meara if fit better options I think