Mid Price Predictions

Started by fasttrack13, February 07, 2016, 12:16:52 PM

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meow meow

Quote from: eaglesman on February 07, 2016, 09:31:45 PM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on February 07, 2016, 08:28:23 PM
Libba 105+
Crouch 100+
JOM 90+

Bit tired of hearing how players coming back from injury are viewed as risks that will never be 100% ever again

Yes Crouch has had an injury or two, but with his preseason form and no Danger on top of what he showed before he went down this kid can seriously be a future 110+ gun

Any player can cop an LTI, doesnt mean they are forever going to be injured

I agree ... Shaking my head at some of these doubters

I'm still shaking my head at you saying Lycett would average 100 last year. Some call it doubt, some say it's realistic. Expecting career best or seasons from 3 players coming off significant injuries is leaning towards unrealistic in my opinion.

Quote from: FactHunt on February 07, 2016, 09:10:36 PM
You jumping on the Libba train Meow?

Depends on how many rookies are named in round 1. He's a safe bet to get a 30ppg price rise but there's enough rookies capable of getting a 40ppg price rise, making them even more ridiculous value. I don't think Libba will average 110+ with our midfield mixture so I'll just go for whoever will make me the most money.

MC

Quote from: BomberSam on February 08, 2016, 06:52:31 PM
Predictions for Craig Bird anyone?

Really keen to see how he goes in NAB, but he's my F4 currently. I reckon he'll go 85-90.

It's so hard to tell with the Essendon players!
The point of comparison I make is to GWS/GCS in their first/second years:

GWS 2012: 3 above 90 - Ward 106, Greene 94, Giles 93 (Next was Cornes, 84)
GWS 2013: 1 above 90 - Ward 97 (Next was Treloar, 87)

GCS 2011: 3 above 90 - GAJ 127, Rischitelli 97, Bock 93 (Next was Brennan 87)
GCS 2012: 4 above 90 - GAJ 138, Bennell 97, Iles 95, Stanley 90 (Prestia 79 was next best)


Interesting points:
*note that GCS only had 4 above 80 in their first two seasons and GWS had 6 and 3.
*note that many of the higher scores were posted by mature-aged players.
*consider that Essendon will have significantly less talent for the 2016 season than GCS and GWS did, though certainly more experience.
*will Essendon's game plan be to shut the opposition down rather than to create scoring opportunities for themselves; thus stemming the flow? Thus causing Bird to tag?


I think you need to consider Essendon's list and the possible scorers, aiming at roughly 3 who can hit the 90-mark. In my opinion these will likely be Goddard & Merrett, leaving one spot (roughly) for any of: Bird, Berger, Zaharakis, McKernan, Baguley, Stokes/Kelly, Simpkin etc

FWIW of those I believe (in order of likelihood) it would be: Bird > Zaha > Berger > Simpkin
Bird is probably worth the risk at 350k, though his scores will likely fluctuate drastically from week to week.

My Chumps


frenzy

Grundy

Smith

Nicholls

Zac Clarke


Cheers in advance.

MC

#34

Quote from: My Chumps on February 09, 2016, 02:59:04 PM
James Aish?

75-80

Quote from: frenzy on February 09, 2016, 08:28:51 PM
Grundy

Smith

Nicholls

Zac Clarke


Cheers in advance.

Grundy 105
Smith 90-odd
Nicholls 95
No idea with Clarke, depends how Sandi goes I guess

Jimmykidd

ill throw one out form left field

jack billings

had a solid pre season and training with the mids. can play this kid.

MC

Quote from: Jimmykidd on February 09, 2016, 09:33:27 PM
ill throw one out form left field

jack billings

had a solid pre season and training with the mids. can play this kid.

Should easily go 90+ if he stays on the field. If I had to guess, i'd say 97  8)

Jimmykidd

Quote from: MC on February 09, 2016, 09:46:49 PM
Quote from: Jimmykidd on February 09, 2016, 09:33:27 PM
ill throw one out form left field

jack billings

had a solid pre season and training with the mids. can play this kid.

Should easily go 90+ if he stays on the field. If I had to guess, i'd say 97  8)

fair call! i had him at 90-95. but do i have the balls to start him? probably not lol

ando_10

Quote from: frenzy on February 07, 2016, 08:38:36 PM
what is peoples predictions for

1.  Greene 90

2.  Gaff 105 (big year)

3. Shuey 100

4.  Hanley 98

MC

Quote from: Jimmykidd on February 09, 2016, 09:48:18 PM
Quote from: MC on February 09, 2016, 09:46:49 PM
Quote from: Jimmykidd on February 09, 2016, 09:33:27 PM
ill throw one out form left field

jack billings

had a solid pre season and training with the mids. can play this kid.

Should easily go 90+ if he stays on the field. If I had to guess, i'd say 97  8)

fair call! i had him at 90-95. but do i have the balls to start him? probably not lol

I've got Buddy in his spot right now, don't think I can risk both!

timmyparso

Is polec a mid priced POD?

Worth watching in NAB and given all clear from foot injury

RaisyDaisy

Quote from: timmyparso on February 09, 2016, 11:08:49 PM
Is polec a mid priced POD?

Worth watching in NAB and given all clear from foot injury

I dont think so

Wont make enough cash, and wont be good enough for a keeper

Reckon 90-95avg would be his ceiling

Better mid priced options around (Libba, Crouch etc)

Keeper27

#42
I don't mind the idea of a few mid priced players.
DEF - eski 85-90, Makenzie/seeds could realistically go 80+
Mids - libba 100+, polec/crouch 90-95
Fwd - Simpkin 80

And that's me being realistic.
And C'mon if you choose the right rookies come rnd 1 you can easily upgrade all quickly and still have decent points weekly

dmac07

Quote from: MC on February 09, 2016, 09:20:07 PM

Quote from: My Chumps on February 09, 2016, 02:59:04 PM


Grundy 105
Smith 90-odd
Nicholls 95
No idea with Clarke, depends how Sandi goes I guess

Very very tempted to start with Grundy, i think within 2-3 years he wil be the must have supercoach ruckman. Potential keeper this year but that might be my Collingwood bias haha

MC

I think he'll be a weapon in 2017, I don't have the plums to start him this year though over Goldy/NicNat/Sauce etc.