fanTCfool's 2016 SC Rollercoaster

[GoLions]

Group A: Simpson, B. Smith, Ablett, Brad Crouch, Wells, Goldstein, Dahlhaus
Group B: McVeigh, Hartung, Wines, Lachie Hunter, Hartung, Nic Nat, M. Robinson

Any preferences lads?

I don't see any of the guys in group B as being better than their counterparts in group A haha

I'd take Simmo over McVeigh to start with due to each one's pre-season thus far
Smiddy over Hartung
Gaz over Wines
Crouch over Hunter (if ready round 1)
Wells over Hartung (and now I see you've probably left out a defence premo :P)
Goldy over NicNat
Dahl maybe just over Robbo, pretty even though here

Oops, that first Hartung that matches Brodie is meant to be Duryea, don't think that will sway your opinion much though.

It doesn't :P

Mainly due to the Gaz and Goldy picks tbh

Think Group B is the heart selection and A is the head.
The one bloke I would love to get in there, is Hunter.
Depending on the fitness of Crouch, it may be possible, but I'm not sure where the spare $120k will come from.

Dahl to Buddy?

[fanTCfool]

Here's my options down back at the moment, and my thinking to go with each.
I'll be doing the same across all lines.

Defence

Heath Shaw -  UPGRADE First few drafts I had Heater in the line-up, but figured that he is maybe a tad overpriced for what I expect him to average. Barring injury, I feel safe locking him in as a Top 5 defender, and will therefore be hunting him down soon.

Jarrad McVeigh - UPGRADE Had him pencilled in down back come Round 20s of last season, hopeful that he would be granted DPP. He was, but recent fitness has suggested it would probably be unwise to start him Round 1, and instead bring him in later on, ideally after a week where he has been rested.

Kade Simpson - SELECTED Out of all the Top 10 defenders, Simmo is the bloke you know will play 22 games a year. Doesn't get rested, and his role does not change. While he, like everyone, is getting older, I recall reading a very recent article in which it was mentioned that he was feeling the fittest he ever had, or something along those lines. All but locked in now.

Kade Kolodjashnij - CONSIDERED Seen KK in many a team, and whilst I do rate him as a player, who had a breakout last season, I am just too uncertain about the role he will play to know what he could score. I do recall someone saying that he could score anywhere between 80-100, and that is a big concern for me. Would have to actively watch his role to select him.

Jimmy Bartel - SELECTED I had originally overlooked him, but have caught up now and, like Simmo, all but locked him into my team. Seriously underpriced for someone I believe could still average 100 if things go his way. I don't think any of his injuries will have any sort of long-term effect on his game.

Elliot Yeo - CONSIDERED Much like KK, I am not entirely sure of where Yeo will be playing this season. My understanding is that his scoring was diminished last season, as he was made to play down back when many Eagles went down. Depending on where he is playing, he would have to be seriously considered at his price.

Brodie Smith - IN-&-OUT Oh, Brodie, you have me puzzled. We are all hopeful than Brodie can return to his premium best, but if he doesn't, he is stuck at an awkward price and could become a real pain. I'm not sure that anyone can say for certain that the concussions will not effect him, perhaps he will never be quite as good again? As a thread once said, will we be 'seduced by Brodie Smith' once again? 2016 Lumumba?

Taylor Duryea - CONSIDERED We're right into the awkward price range now. I think we were all impressed by Duryea during the finals season last year. I did start him last season, not sure why, but he did underwhelm me, I had hoped for those scores of season's end from the beginning of last season. Not totally convinced either way, but it is looking pretty unlikely at this point, not completely ruled out though.

Ryan Harwood - SELECTED I'm not completely convinced by Harwood, whilst I know that he can score quite well, at $283k, I could hope for similar scores from another rookie. However, with plenty of rookies down back already, that would leave me pretty open to donuts. We'll see with this one, he should play most of NAB, and some good scores there could lead me to cementing his selection.

Eric McKenzie - CONSIDERED Yet another I don't know a whole heap about. Hopefully I'll get to see a fair bit of EMac during the NAB, as he could possibly be an alternative to Harwood, which would free up a handy $50k, or possibly both to try and beef up my generally weak defence.

[fanTCfool]

Alright, on to the Mids, and this is where I need a little help.
I would love to have all of the following blokes in my side, but unfortunately that is not possible.
I've decided to put up my thoughts surrounding each one, and an expected average, so if someone could be so kind as to work out the points per dollar for each one that would be a great help in making my decisions clearer, so that I am getting the best value for money.

Nathan Fyfe - SELECTED Expected: 125
I was very concerned around Nat's fitness, but he laid those fears to rest with his performance last night, albeit for just half of the game. I can see Fyfe matching last year's efforts, and if he can stay on the park he is a fantastic chance to be the #1 mid of the competition, as his pricing suggests.

Scott Pendlebury - SELECTED Expected: 119
A favourite amongst all fantasy coaches, Pendles is too consistent to ignore. Not a single score below 80 last season, and he didn't miss a game for the entire year. He has floated in and out of my side a little, looking at cheaper alternatives who could score similarly (Wines, mainly), but I have squeezed them both in currently and am pretty happy because of it.

Gary Ablett - SELECTED Expected: 128
If you don't start him and he goes huge, you're already behind.

Josh P. Kennedy - IN-&-OUT Expected: 115
I was all over JPK towards the end of last year, his run on of 30+ disposal games was really impressive, and the scores generally matched that. To think that he could have been picked up at $486k in the middle of last year is a huge bargain. However, what I wasn't truly aware of was his patchy scores, the 60s and 70s that you don't get with Pendles. So for the time being, I am going in without JPK, but would still love to see him in my side as I believe he can pick up from where he left off last year.

Rory Sloane - IN-&-OUT Expected: 112
Rory was another bargain buy towards the middle and back-end of last season. Unfortunately, however, he played a few too many good games after returning from multiple injuries which pushed his end of year price up ultimately just $40k cheaper of where it started. Whilst a lot of his games last season were injury effected, he did put up 3 scores around the 70 mark, which was especially disappointing at the time as I had just traded him in. Without Danger, I feel that Rory's scores may suffer just a little too, which is why he is currently sitting out of my side, but certainly under consideration.

Tom Rockliff - LOCKED Expected: 126
Rocky.

Ollie Wines - SELECTED Expected: 114
Wines looks to be a little bit risky, and whilst I expect bigger and better things of Ollie in 2016, I'm not quite 100% convinced about him. I don't find the injuries to be too concerning, he just lacks a bit of proof in his ability to average big numbers. It was looking pretty good last year, but interrupted by injury. He did only have one low score (other than injury-effected games) of 65, the rest were of at least 87. Might be picking between him and Rory at the end of the day.

Mitch Duncan - CONSIDERED Expected: 109
Duncan was in my team for a little while as he showed us a very high ceiling last year, with a whopping score of 153. His scoring had just reached a purple patch when a foot injury kept him sidelined for a while. I was very keen on Duncan at just $493k, but looking over his record he is just too inconsistent for the time being. 2017 possibility.

Lachie Hunter - SELECTED Expected: 105
I expect great things of this man. I believe he has now found himself with a spot in the Doggies best 22, and had a great run after escaping the sub vest at the end of last season. He also has a pretty good record under the roof at Etihad, where the Doggies play their first 7 games. Risky, but I'm pretty keen.

Nick Graham - CONSIDERED Expected: 98
Nick Graham is a gun. Another who has cemented a spot in the best 22, with some great performances before injury last season. Impacts the scoreboard and always seems to put up some good SuperCoach scores, even when he is a little quieter in terms of AFL Fantasy. This may be a heap of blues bias, but I am looking at him to an alternative to Crouch, who also happens to not be in my side at the very minute.

Seb Ross - CONSIDERED Expected: 89
Another one falling into this awkward price range, I was impressed by Seb Ross towards the end of last year and feel like he has a bit to offer for both the Saints and in fantasy terms. I feel like he would be a great buy, but there really isn't enough room in my side. I will be keeping tabs on him though.

Tom Liberatore - SELECTED Expected: 108
Like Gaz, everyone will have him, can't afford not to.

Jaeger O'Meara - UPGRADE/DOWNGRADE Expected: 94
Doesn't look like playing Round 1, which in many ways is a good thing. Definitely keen to bring him in once his season commences, like I assume we all are.

Brad Crouch - IN-&-OUT Expected: 92
A fit Brad Crouch would make everyone's side I would have thought, but what I don't know is whether or not we have a truly fit Brad Crouch, some say we never will again. I'm gonna be brutally honest here, and whilst I don't wish injury or bad luck on anyone, an injury to Crouch would not be the worst thing in the world. It allows me to not pick him, without worrying about him going large for everyone who does have him. Sorry Brad. He's been in and out of my team, and is currently out as I mentioned before, because I simply cannot fit everyone in. If I wuss out of starting Hunter, then I think I'll be bringing Brad back in.

Daniel Wells, Jonathon Simpkin & Sam Kerridge - FORWARD LINE
Currently have both of all three of these blokes in the forward line, but I thought it best to mention them as they are obviously midfield options too.

And finally for the Rookies, they're probably at the cheaper end of the spectrum,


Gresham
Polkinghorne
Menegola
Marcon

But they're all just placeholders for the time being.

So yes if someone could hit me up with the points per dollar on those midfield options, if it is not too much of a bother, it would be very much appreciated  ;D

[fanTCfool]

Not too unhappy with this side, pretty even up forward and back and what I would consider a strong midfield:




Always hunting feedback, let me know what you think  ;D

Harwood and EMac on the chopping block, if either was to go I intend to use the spare change to either bolster rookies a little better or upgrade Buddy to someone who won't miss as many games.

[Gandalf123]

what's your expectation of hunter?
Like the forwards as they are basically the same as mine, I agree that you should chop Emac or Harwood and either upgrade the other one or Buddy, I spose there is always the option to move Goldy down to a Jacobs/NicNat/Mummy to free up a bit of a coin as well.. either way nice team, nice structure!

*EDIT - Sorry just read ya bit on Hunter, Ballsy pick but could pay dividends at his price!

[fanTCfool]

what's your expectation of hunter?
Like the forwards as they are basically the same as mine, I agree that you should chop Emac or Harwood and either upgrade the other one or Buddy, I spose there is always the option to move Goldy down to a Jacobs/NicNat/Mummy to free up a bit of a coin as well.. either way nice team, nice structure!

*EDIT - Sorry just read ya bit on Hunter, Ballsy pick but could pay dividends at his price!

Happy to take the punt on him for the time being, every statistic I've hunted down has done nothing to persuade me to get rid of him.
Get the feeling he will have a big start, as they have the first 7 under the roof, so he could be a great stepping stone early.

[fanTCfool]

Feeling unhappy with Brodie Smith, and I feel like I would like someone playing 20+ games at F3, where I currently have Buddy, who I believe will not fit this criteria.

After being impressed with Harwood today, the master plan is to chop EMac (becomes a rookie) and split the change to upgrade both Smith and Buddy.
Currently looking at Yeo and possibly Bennell or Dahl, but they are just blank spaces for the moment.

[ubeaut]

I'd cut Mills and/or Simpkin as well as E.Mac or Harwood.

Then keep Buddy at F4 and get another F3. Not convinced by B.Smith either. Just get Simpson or McVeigh or someone.

[fanTCfool]

I'd cut Mills and/or Simpkin as well as E.Mac or Harwood.

Then keep Buddy at F4 and get another F3. Not convinced by B.Smith either. Just get Simpson or McVeigh or someone.

Not sure that I'll have enough cash to pull off all those moves, as much as I would like to.
Pretty happy with Simpkin, I'll back him in to average the same if not slightly more than Wells.

Already have Simmo, and am not too keen to start McVeigh without any sort of pre-season to speak of.

[fanTCfool]

Becoming a little uncertain around D2/3 and F2/3 options,

I currently have:
Simmo & Bartel down back and
Dusty & Barlow up forward

plus $1.12m to spend on two players, probably one Forward and one Back.

All advice welcome  ;D

[fanTCfool]

Still hunting one premo defender and one premo forward, 1.1m cash to spend.
Would have McVeigh locked if it wasn't for his fitness, still might pick him.
Forward, not too sure, possibly Bennell or even Lynch (GC) or Billings have been considered, along with Mitch Robinson.
Any hot tips?

[fanTCfool]

Starting to get cold feet surrounding my POD Lachie Hunter, dropping him back to Crouch would allow me to upgrade JPK to Fyfe, or add the money to my budget for one more forward and one more back, who I am yet to decide on.
Thoughts?

[Hawker_08]

Starting to get cold feet surrounding my POD Lachie Hunter, dropping him back to Crouch would allow me to upgrade JPK to Fyfe, or add the money to my budget for one more forward and one more back, who I am yet to decide on.
Thoughts?

Don't you already have Fyfe? Anyway, I like that swap but I would prefer perhaps downgrading Simpkin to a rookie and then upgrading hunter 100k to Wines or Parker.

[fanTCfool]

Starting to get cold feet surrounding my POD Lachie Hunter, dropping him back to Crouch would allow me to upgrade JPK to Fyfe, or add the money to my budget for one more forward and one more back, who I am yet to decide on.
Thoughts?

Don't you already have Fyfe? Anyway, I like that swap but I would prefer perhaps downgrading Simpkin to a rookie and then upgrading hunter 100k to Wines or Parker.

Don't mind that call, I still have 1.1m to spend on two players, but if I do not spend it all I could easily upgrade Hunter as you say.

[TomK]

Starting to get cold feet surrounding my POD Lachie Hunter, dropping him back to Crouch would allow me to upgrade JPK to Fyfe, or add the money to my budget for one more forward and one more back, who I am yet to decide on.
Thoughts?

Don't you already have Fyfe? Anyway, I like that swap but I would prefer perhaps downgrading Simpkin to a rookie and then upgrading hunter 100k to Wines or Parker.

Don't mind that call, I still have 1.1m to spend on two players, but if I do not spend it all I could easily upgrade Hunter as you say.

It's one defender and forward yeah? You're probably already thinking this but I'd suggest one of Birch/Smith and one of Robbo/Buddy which would then give you enough to upgrade Hunter