Ringos Rocky Road 2016

Started by Ringo, November 21, 2015, 01:14:59 PM

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DCAK

Quote from: crowls on January 29, 2016, 02:07:46 PM
Great looking team Ringo.    Agree with Enright to Bartel move.   Personally would have luey over sinclair or tippett as proven scorer and will be sole ruckman.  Expect min 95 average.   Pendles over Beams also makes sense.   


Stick with Wells.  I carried the bugger on my bloody back for 1/2 of 2015.   If he stays on the ground then you will get points and cash generation.
All the best for 2016.

Your optimism about Leuenberger gives the term 'fantasy football' a whole new meaning! ; )

DCAK

Quote from: Ringo on January 29, 2016, 01:04:42 PM
Made a few changes with SC opening:




Enright to Bartel
Beams to Pendles
JPK to Gray
Lids to Wingard
Sinclair to Tippett

Still not sure on Wells may become Lyons but looking at NAB Form.

Sticking to my strategy on Mumford.  Goldstein has a 3 rd B/E of 133 and Mumford 109.  So Mumford should maintain with the relative easy draw and Goldy drop.

Reasonably happy with this structure with $74k cash left for adjustments, Bye structure 10/14/6 with keepers 6/5/4 so not a real problem.

Hi Ringo,  I'd strongly advise against the Mumford pick, as although he has a high score ceiling he has a history of missing multiple games per season;

2010 - 19 games
2011 - 17 games
2012 - 14 games
2013 - 19 games
2014 - 17 games
2015 - 11 games

I understand that you have set your team to include a ruck/fwd for coverage, but I'm of the opinion that you'd just be better of picking a durable, premium ruck at R2 (or as I'm doing this year, pick a durable mid-price RUCK - Lobbe with a view to trading later)

Scenario.  Important game in your league, Mumford out, you then switch Tippet/Sinclair to Ruck, leaving you a premium short up FWD, forcing you to either trade for a fwd, or play a benchwarmer. 

That's my 2 cents worth.

Ringo

Thanks Dcak Know I am taking a risk but with Kangas early hard draw and GWS with a relatively easy one (ruck wise) am hoping that Mummy and Goldy can become a straight swap.   Could not justify the high price for Goldy up front.

Risk for me is that injury happens in first couple of games of the season and he has had only one season where LTI intervened early.


AaronKirk

Quote from: Ringo on February 06, 2016, 06:12:09 PM
Thanks Dcak Know I am taking a risk but with Kangas early hard draw and GWS with a relatively easy one (ruck wise) am hoping that Mummy and Goldy can become a straight swap.   Could not justify the high price for Goldy up front.

Risk for me is that injury happens in first couple of games of the season and he has had only one season where LTI intervened early.

As long as you have a ruck DPP forward I really like the Mumford pick TBH.

I don't have confidence in his body to pick him however from a draw perspective ruck wise Mumford has the easiest draw in the first half of the season from the top premos and if fit IMO will average above Goldy in the first half of the season.

Hawker_08

Quote from: AaronKirk on February 06, 2016, 06:26:24 PM
Quote from: Ringo on February 06, 2016, 06:12:09 PM
Thanks Dcak Know I am taking a risk but with Kangas early hard draw and GWS with a relatively easy one (ruck wise) am hoping that Mummy and Goldy can become a straight swap.   Could not justify the high price for Goldy up front.

Risk for me is that injury happens in first couple of games of the season and he has had only one season where LTI intervened early.

As long as you have a ruck DPP forward I really like the Mumford pick TBH.

I don't have confidence in his body to pick him however from a draw perspective ruck wise Mumford has the easiest draw in the first half of the season from the top premos and if fit IMO will average above Goldy in the first half of the season.

Well then why don't you pick him? If you see him being the R1 by mid year then go for it. What if this is the year when he plays every game? Worst case scenario he gets injured, you bring in the highest scoring ruck for the year. It's only one trade out of an available 30. I say start with him, you will reap the rewards and then if he does get injured you end up with a ruck who you know will finish top 3!

AaronKirk

Quote from: Hawker_08 on February 06, 2016, 06:39:41 PM
Quote from: AaronKirk on February 06, 2016, 06:26:24 PM
Quote from: Ringo on February 06, 2016, 06:12:09 PM
Thanks Dcak Know I am taking a risk but with Kangas early hard draw and GWS with a relatively easy one (ruck wise) am hoping that Mummy and Goldy can become a straight swap.   Could not justify the high price for Goldy up front.

Risk for me is that injury happens in first couple of games of the season and he has had only one season where LTI intervened early.

As long as you have a ruck DPP forward I really like the Mumford pick TBH.

I don't have confidence in his body to pick him however from a draw perspective ruck wise Mumford has the easiest draw in the first half of the season from the top premos and if fit IMO will average above Goldy in the first half of the season.

Well then why don't you pick him? If you see him being the R1 by mid year then go for it. What if this is the year when he plays every game? Worst case scenario he gets injured, you bring in the highest scoring ruck for the year. It's only one trade out of an available 30. I say start with him, you will reap the rewards and then if he does get injured you end up with a ruck who you know will finish top 3!

As I stated above I have no confidence in him having an uninterrupted season. I would have to re-structure my side to select Mumford and Goldy.

Goldy will be top 2 or 3 at worst come seasons end and happy to have Lobbe at R2.

Hawker_08

Quote from: AaronKirk on February 06, 2016, 08:49:13 PM
Quote from: Hawker_08 on February 06, 2016, 06:39:41 PM
Quote from: AaronKirk on February 06, 2016, 06:26:24 PM
Quote from: Ringo on February 06, 2016, 06:12:09 PM
Thanks Dcak Know I am taking a risk but with Kangas early hard draw and GWS with a relatively easy one (ruck wise) am hoping that Mummy and Goldy can become a straight swap.   Could not justify the high price for Goldy up front.

Risk for me is that injury happens in first couple of games of the season and he has had only one season where LTI intervened early.

As long as you have a ruck DPP forward I really like the Mumford pick TBH.

I don't have confidence in his body to pick him however from a draw perspective ruck wise Mumford has the easiest draw in the first half of the season from the top premos and if fit IMO will average above Goldy in the first half of the season.

Well then why don't you pick him? If you see him being the R1 by mid year then go for it. What if this is the year when he plays every game? Worst case scenario he gets injured, you bring in the highest scoring ruck for the year. It's only one trade out of an available 30. I say start with him, you will reap the rewards and then if he does get injured you end up with a ruck who you know will finish top 3!

As I stated above I have no confidence in him having an uninterrupted season. I would have to re-structure my side to select Mumford and Goldy.

Goldy will be top 2 or 3 at worst come seasons end and happy to have Lobbe at R2.

Fair Enough. All the best for next year!

Money Shot

Ringo what are your thoughts on Harwood? I think he could go mid 80s and therefore be a good pick up and was expecting too see him in your side. Any reason why he isn't?

Ringo

Harwood, Lester, Cutler and Mayes are vying for 2 positions at HB and at the moment not sure whether Harwood will make it.  If he does will be in.

DCAK

Hey Ringo, you seem to be the resident subject matter expert when it comes to the Bears, do you think Keays, Mathieson or Hipwood will get a opportunities in the seniors this season, and I mean not just 1 or 2 games, but enough to be SC relevant? Thanks, Dave

GoLions

Quote from: DCAK on February 08, 2016, 07:13:18 PM
Hey Ringo, you seem to be the resident subject matter expert when it comes to the Bears, do you think Keays, Mathieson or Hipwood will get a opportunities in the seniors this season, and I mean not just 1 or 2 games, but enough to be SC relevant? Thanks, Dave
Barring injuries, Matho probably most likely, but it's a hard midfield to break into for him and Keays. Hipwood been training with the fwd group apparently, but I don't see him getting picked before guys like Freeman, Schache, Walker, Close.

DCAK

Quote from: GoLions on February 08, 2016, 07:17:17 PM
Quote from: DCAK on February 08, 2016, 07:13:18 PM
Hey Ringo, you seem to be the resident subject matter expert when it comes to the Bears, do you think Keays, Mathieson or Hipwood will get a opportunities in the seniors this season, and I mean not just 1 or 2 games, but enough to be SC relevant? Thanks, Dave
Barring injuries, Matho probably most likely, but it's a hard midfield to break into for him and Keays. Hipwood been training with the fwd group apparently, but I don't see him getting picked before guys like Freeman, Schache, Walker, Close.

Thanks GL

Ringo

I think all three may get opportunities.  Number of games would depend on players losing form or extent of injuries.  Can not see any of them getting up for Round 1 unless we have a disastrous NAB injury curse.  You also have to remember that previous years draftees McGrath, Clayton and Dawson also have some claims.  I will not be starting any.  The only new draftee who I may start from Lions is Schache if he gets named and does well in NAB cup.

DCAK

Quote from: Ringo on February 08, 2016, 07:20:37 PM
I think all three may get opportunities.  Number of games would depend on players losing form or extent of injuries.  Can not see any of them getting up for Round 1 unless we have a disastrous NAB injury curse.  You also have to remember that previous years draftees McGrath, Clayton and Dawson also have some claims.  I will not be starting any.  The only new draftee who I may start from Lions is Schache if he gets named and does well in NAB cup.

Good man, thanks Ringo.

DCAK

Quote from: Ringo on February 08, 2016, 07:20:37 PM
I think all three may get opportunities.  Number of games would depend on players losing form or extent of injuries.  Can not see any of them getting up for Round 1 unless we have a disastrous NAB injury curse.  You also have to remember that previous years draftees McGrath, Clayton and Dawson also have some claims.  I will not be starting any.  The only new draftee who I may start from Lions is Schache if he gets named and does well in NAB cup.

As an afterthought I do have to ask this.  What about Jansen? Surely he would not have left Geelong to walk into a similarly poor situation. The man is an in-and-under bull.....