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The Brownlow

Started by Torpedo10, September 28, 2015, 08:47:41 PM

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jvalles69

Selwood, Sloane and Parker all paying $10 on ladbrokes with a handicap of +6.5 votes.

AaronKirk

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on August 30, 2016, 07:02:13 PM
Flower

Parker was $4 to place this morning but now into $3.50

Top 5 market is up on TAB too

At this stage it looks like there are just 3 bets I will be placing this year

Parker to place and Shuey for Top 5 are the two bets I'm loading up on, and I might put together a most team votes multi as well and the players I will put in are Cripps, Lynch, Mitchell, Gawn, Gray, Parker and Shuey

I'll be heading to the TAB on Saturday to put my bets in

Shuey won't get near Priddis let alone top 5.

jvalles69

100% in agreeance with AK on the Priddis call.

RaisyDaisy

I guess time will tell, but I'm not the only one who thinks Shuey was our best player this year...

http://www.afl.com.au/brownlow-medal/predictor

http://www.phantombrownlowmedal.com.au/phantom-brownlow-standings


LF

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on September 03, 2016, 10:13:18 PM
I guess time will tell, but I'm not the only one who thinks Shuey was our best player this year...

http://www.afl.com.au/brownlow-medal/predictor

http://www.phantombrownlowmedal.com.au/phantom-brownlow-standings

Yeah I'm with RD,I thought Shuey was awesome this year

AaronKirk

True but Priddis had good brownlow voting history and Shuey does not.

I have Priddis on 21 votes polling in 10 games and Shuey on 16 votes polling in 9 games. Time will tell.

If Shuey has a similar year next season he will finish a lot higher.

The_Captain

Shueys year this year has been his best my a country mile. Thats why he hasnt polled as well in previous years. Priddis was a fair bit down this year compared to his previous 2. To say Shuey wont get anywhere near priddis is quite off i think. Sheuy has been our best mid this year and is a pretty flashy player so can expect him to be noticed by the umps.

Hippo

Sounds like your describing Gray and Boak of 2014.

Shuey i think has had a yr like Gray in 2014 and is going against his teammate that polls when you don't expect him to. Hardly anyone had Baok beating Gray. i mean how could they, Gray was there "best mid that year and is a pretty flashy player so can expect him to be noticed by the umps."

he wasn't!!! (as much)

Priddis polls when you don't expect and has the last 2 yrs, don't see how this yr will be any different.

You would also think that after 2014 Gray would beat his captain after having 2014 to get noticed - he didn't again.

The lesson learnt and the educated guess is that Priddis should beat Shuey and is good value for your multis.

this applies to Ward too.




There was a betting plunge on Robbie Gray ahead of the count but Travis Boak trumped his teammate with 21 votes and was a chance to tie with one round left. Gray polled 14, which was well short of what was anticipated[/b]. However he had only polled 15 in his career coming into the count.

RaisyDaisy

#428
Yeah there's no disputing Priddis and Ward both poll well, which is a concern, but with Shuey paying $4 for Top 5 I'm happy to have a crack

Will be interesting to see how it pans out, although it might be worth putting down a few most team vote multi's with Priddis and Ward as insurance too

The_Captain

Quote from: Hippo on September 05, 2016, 03:27:44 PM
Sounds like your describing Gray and Boak of 2014.

Shuey i think has had a yr like Gray in 2014 and is going against his teammate that polls when you don't expect him to. Hardly anyone had Baok beating Gray. i mean how could they, Gray was there "best mid that year and is a pretty flashy player so can expect him to be noticed by the umps."

he wasn't!!! (as much)

Priddis polls when you don't expect and has the last 2 yrs, don't see how this yr will be any different.

You would also think that after 2014 Gray would beat his captain after having 2014 to get noticed - he didn't again.

The lesson learnt and the educated guess is that Priddis should beat Shuey and is good value for your multis.

this applies to Ward too.




There was a betting plunge on Robbie Gray ahead of the count but Travis Boak trumped his teammate with 21 votes and was a chance to tie with one round left. Gray polled 14, which was well short of what was anticipated[/b]. However he had only polled 15 in his career coming into the count.

Yeah but that situation was completely different. Gray was very average in previous years, and had a breakout year..
Shuey has been a well renown midfielder leading up to this year. The umps know him well already,and you throw into the mix a career best year and you will have someone who polls well. Easily eagles best mid this year.

AaronKirk

I have to back in my analysis and 3-2-1s that I have been doing for the last 7 seasons.

Priddis most WCE votes will be an anchor in my multis.

kilbluff1985

thoughts on this team votes multi?

Pendles
Motlop with no Danger/Jelwood
Lynch
Gawn
Goldy
Wines with no Gray
Cotchin with no Martin
Steven
Priddis

@37.29

seems pretty safe

just gonna put like $20 on it

dmac07

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 06, 2016, 12:30:09 AM
thoughts on this team votes multi?

Pendles
Motlop with no Danger/Jelwood
Lynch
Gawn
Goldy
Wines with no Gray
Cotchin with no Martin
Steven
Priddis

@37.29

seems pretty safe

just gonna put like $20 on it


Lynch is the only one I dont like of those. Lots of 4 and 5 goal games in big losses I dont think he will poll in. Easy their best player, but Hall could not poll after round 3 and win it. Agree with all the others, Cothcin is one of a few that could grt it without Martin

PowerBug

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Hippo

Quote from: The_Captain on September 05, 2016, 06:10:09 PM
Quote from: Hippo on September 05, 2016, 03:27:44 PM
Sounds like your describing Gray and Boak of 2014.

Shuey i think has had a yr like Gray in 2014 and is going against his teammate that polls when you don't expect him to. Hardly anyone had Baok beating Gray. i mean how could they, Gray was there "best mid that year and is a pretty flashy player so can expect him to be noticed by the umps."

he wasn't!!! (as much)

Priddis polls when you don't expect and has the last 2 yrs, don't see how this yr will be any different.

You would also think that after 2014 Gray would beat his captain after having 2014 to get noticed - he didn't again.

The lesson learnt and the educated guess is that Priddis should beat Shuey and is good value for your multis.

this applies to Ward too.




There was a betting plunge on Robbie Gray ahead of the count but Travis Boak trumped his teammate with 21 votes and was a chance to tie with one round left. Gray polled 14, which was well short of what was anticipated[/b]. However he had only polled 15 in his career coming into the count.

Yeah but that situation was completely different. Gray was very average in previous years, and had a breakout year..
Shuey has been a well renown midfielder leading up to this year. The umps know him well already,and you throw into the mix a career best year and you will have someone who polls well. Easily eagles best mid this year.
Not completely different! Gray then underpolled again the following yr, after his breakout yr.

good luck with your bets