The Brownlow

[AaronKirk]

Cats v Dogs
3 Dangerfield 2 Stanley 1 Motlop

GWS v Richmond
3 Coniglio 2 Scully 1 Rance

Hawthorn v Carlton
3 Cripps 2 Burgoyne 1 Lewis

Collingwood v WCE
3 Pendlebury 2 Grundy 1 Adams

Nth Melbourne v St Kilda
3 Macmillan 2 Goldstein 1 Petrie

Port Adelaide v Brisbane
3 Trengove 2 R.Gray 1 Boak

Melbourne v Gold Coast
3 Watts 2 Tyson 1 Miller

Fremantle v Sydney
3 JP Kennedy 2 Hannebery 1 Mitchell

Adelaide v Essendon
3 Sloane 2 Betts 1 Laird

[AaronKirk]

Mathematically with 4 weeks left all of the below can win.

Sloane 25
Danger 24
Selwood 23
Parker 21
Bont 20
Dusty 20
Priddis 19
Pendles 19
Gray 19
Hannebery 19
Gawn 18
Steven 17
S.Mitchell 17
Ward 15
Neale 15
Gibbs 14
Coniglio 14
Lewis 13
JP Kennedy 13

[fanTCfool]

Will Trengove get votes though?
Don't get me wrong, he definitely deserves them, but rucks rarely get votes as we've seen before.
That being said, he's not really getting votes for his ruckwork as such.
Will be interesting come Brownlow night.

[Big Mac]

Who do you like in the leader after round 10 market AK

[AaronKirk]

Will Trengove get votes though?
Don't get me wrong, he definitely deserves them, but rucks rarely get votes as we've seen before.
That being said, he's not really getting votes for his ruckwork as such.
Will be interesting come Brownlow night.

25 touches, 20 contested, 15 clearances and a couple of goals regardless of who you are is a moral BOG

Who do you like in the leader after round 10 market AK

At Round 10 I have Hanneberry in front 16 votes from Parker 14, Selwood and Gawn 13

[fanTCfool]

I wasn't just talking about this week, Trengove has played some great games this year but I'm not sure he'll get votes.

[AaronKirk]

I wasn't just talking about this week, Trengove has played some great games this year but I'm not sure he'll get votes.

True about rucks but if he doesn't get BOG in both of the Port v Brisbane games this year I would be shocked.

[jvalles69]

My latest count looks like this:

Danger 29
Sloane 28
Selwood 25
Parker 23
Gray 19
Dusty 19
Priddis 19
S. Mitchell 18
Lewis 18
Ward 17
Pendlebury 17
Steven 17

[jvalles69]

Keen to see that quinella open up and get on Danger/Sloane.

CrownBet looks to have the odd right in line with my count.  They have leader after round 5 Parker and leader after round 12 Selwood in 2nd behind Danger.

My leaders after round 10 are: Parker 16, Selwood 14, Danger 12

[jvalles69]

Just got on Parker to lead at round 10 paying $7 on Sportsbet and Parker to be leading at round 12 paying $21 on Crownbet.  Danger and Selwood have blinders in rd 11 and 12 so a bit of a speculative bet there, but I'm confident on Parker unless he's the guy this year that just doesn't poll well.

[dmac07]

My current count, which is a lot more stretched out than others here is below.

26 - Dangerfield
22 - Sloane
19 - Bontempelli
18 - S.Pendlebury, J.Selwood, R.Gray, D.Martin
17 - D.Hannebery, L.Parker
16 - JP.Kennedy, S.Mitchell, J.Steven
15 - S.Coniglio, C.Ward
14 - L.Neale, M.Priddis
13 - L.Shuey
12 - H.Shaw, B.Gibbs, J.Lewis, T.Goldstein, T.Mitchell
11 - R.Laird, J.Viney, L.Hunter, A.Gaff
10 - M.Gawn, Z.Merrett

[jvalles69]

Some decent value on teams at the moment, still can't multi though.  Brownlow without Danger, Sloane paying $4.  All odds from Sportsbet.

Lions - Rockliff $2
Blues - Gibbs $1.75
Pies - Pendles $1.50
Giants - Ward $2.75
Suns - Ablett $4.50
Dees - Gawn $2.50
Power - Gray $1.22
Swans - Parker $2.50
Eagles - Priddis $2

This multi would pay approx $990 per $1 investment.  I will be folding something like this together.

[_wato]

$990 per $1 investment?

[Bill Manspeaker]

Some decent value on teams at the moment, still can't multi though.  Brownlow without Danger, Sloane paying $4.  All odds from Sportsbet.

Lions - Rockliff $2
Blues - Gibbs $1.75
Pies - Pendles $1.50
Giants - Ward $2.75
Suns - Ablett $4.50
Dees - Gawn $2.50
Power - Gray $1.22
Swans - Parker $2.50
Eagles - Priddis $2

This multi would pay approx $990 per $1 investment.  I will be folding something like this together.

reckon you could add Saints - Steven to it

[AaronKirk]

Won't be able to multi till after H+A is completed. That is with the TAB anyway as per a tweet yesterday I saw from Nick Quinn.

Current markets faves with SB team votes

Adelaide - Sloane $1.03 - moral to get most Crows Votes.

Brisbane - Rocky $2 from Zorko $3. I have Rocky on 6. Zorko 4. Hanly + Robbo 3. I wouldn't take that price yet.

Carlton - Gibbs $1.75 from Cripps $2.25. I like Gibbs' odds - have him on 14 and Cripps 9

Collingwood - Pendles $1.50. Moral most pies votes. Have him 19 with Grundy next on 9

Essendon - Zerrett $1.45. Another one who should be a moral. Have him on 9. next best Don on 3

Freo - Neale $1.16. Have him a long way in front of Fyfe but a lot of votes given in losses. Should win easy but won't take the
price. Got him on 15. Next best Fyfe 7 then Barlow 6. All rest 3 or less. Mundy 2nd fave @ $7? I have him on 1 vote.

Geelong - Danger 1.03 then Selwood $14 - Selwood definitely worth a lobster on him. Danger ahead in my count but only by 1.

GWS - Coniglio 2.50 from Ward 2.75, Shiel 3.75, Shaw 6.50. I have Ward on 15, Conigs on 14, Shaw 11, Shiel 6. I don't like the chances of Shiel and Shaw doesn't have voting history. Conigs or Ward should win it and Ward has decent voting history. More multis will have Ward than Conigs but will have multis with both I think at this stage.

Gold Coast - Lynch $1.66, Hall $3, Ablett $4.50. I have Ablett and Hall on 9 and Lynch on 5. I won't be touching this market. I have a feeling the weighting of my votes has Lynch on less votes than he probably will get and have not betting confidence at this stage.

Hawthorn - Mitchell $1.19, Lewis $4.50, Gunston $21. Mitchell should win this one. I have him on 19, Lewis 13 and Gunston 8. Is he worth chucking in a multi at $1.19? I think yes.

Melbourne - Viney 2.25, Gawn 2.50, Jones 4.50. I have Gawn on 18 votes ahead of Jones 9 and Viney 7. I always tend to overrate top quality rucks in the count and Gawn has no real voting history but I am confident he has had a great year and will poll well. Will chuck him in a few multis.

North Melbourne - Goldy 2.25, Wells 2.75, Ziebell 5, Boomer 10, Waite 10, Cunnington 12. I'm not touching this market. I have Goldy on 12, Wells 10 then Cunnington and Waite on 5, Ziebell and Gibson 4. North tend to distribute votes evenly between their players and I never seem to get votes for them right.

Port Adelaide - Gray $1.22 - moral for most Port votes. Have him 19. Trengove next best with 7 (he isn't even in the market)

Richmond - Dusty $1.03 - moral for most Tigers votes. Cotch next best on 8. All rest 3 or less

St Kilda - Steven $1.12, Nroo 5. Have Steven on 17 and Roo on 11. Steven should poll most Saints votes but probably not one for me to include at that price yet.

Sydney - Hanners $2.15, Parker $2.50, JPK $5. Not touching this market. All the gun swans mids poll well and i always underrate buddy who always for some reason polls well. I have Parker 20, Hanners 17, Mitchell 11 and JPK 10

Dogs - Bont $1.30, Hunter 3.25. Bont should get most votes. Have him on 20 and then Hunter 12. I think I have over predicted Hunter's votes. Bont a good multi anchor.

West Coast - Priddis $2, Shuey $2.50, Gaff $5. I have Priddis on 19, Shuey 12 and Gaff 9. Priddis has very good voting history. Gaff does as well but probably hasn't had as good a year. Shuey recent years hasn't had good history. Priddis' price looks ridiculously good.

Best Current Bet: Priddis $2 WCE most votes.
Best Value Bet: Selwood $14 most Geelong votes 


Moral multi:
Blues - Gibbs $1.75
Pies - Pendles $1.50
Dons - Zerrett $1.45
Dees - Gawn $2.50
Hawks - Mitch $1.19
Port - Gray $1.22
Dogs - Bont $1.30
WCE - Priddis $2