The Brownlow

[RaisyDaisy]

yeah i don't like 2-1 on my money either but last year i got bonus bets to make the Fyfe bets worth it as he was a bit over @2.00

Yeah if they're an absolute lock then I'll load up

I got Fyfe at $2 last year and when GAJ won his last Brownlow I got him at $2.50 but they were absolute certainties so happy to cash in!

That's why I like to do Top 5 bets, group winners, most team votes etc because you can usually find a good roughie in those markets offering juicy odds

Last year I put $350 on Sam Mitchell to place, paying $3.75. Was pretty chuffed with that :) The year before I got Buddy at about $4 or so to finish Top 5 and collected there too

I've been betting on the Brownlow since Bartel won (Got him at $8.20 that year!) and there's only been 2 years where I have not profited (Cooney in 08 and Judd in 10)

Looking forward to scanning the markets closer to the count :)

[RaisyDaisy]

Just saw TAB has Parker $13 to win and $5 to place

$5 to place is very tempting. Most predictor polls I've seen currently have him in the Top 3

[Nige]

The AFL site had an article which reckons it's pretty much down to Danger, Parker, Dusty and Sloane if I read it correctly.

Looks like it should be a pretty tight and interesting count.

[jvalles69]

They've really forgotten about Jelwood the media, he's right up there too.

I almost had a massive win back when the Lions won 3 in a row.  Voss had a hamstring injury and was touted to miss 4-5 weeks, his odds went out to $301 so I put $25 on it.  He ended up only missing 2 games with a bye in there and dominated.  He was leading the count right up until the final round of votes.  :'(

Team multi's should have some decent value this year, I think the bookies have a fair few wrong at this stage.  Parker $5 is great value still.  I got on him and Selwood when they were paying in the teens.  Also got Danger to place preseason too which was paying around $3.

[RaisyDaisy]

Shuey is currently $51 to win and $13.50 place

I'll be getting on him for Top 5 when the market opens - just hope the odds don't get crunched in.

[jvalles69]

Shuey is currently $51 to win and $13.50 place

I'll be getting on him for Top 5 when the market opens - just hope the odds don't get crunched in.

Noticed he's 2nd on the Phantom Brownlows count!  :o

Based on history, Shuey and Parker will prob poll less than what everyone thinks including myself.  I have Parker right up there, but Shuey still behind Priddis.  Happens every year.  A guy that really breaks out doesn't poll well in that year, its the following year they poll well.

[RaisyDaisy]

Shuey is currently $51 to win and $13.50 place

I'll be getting on him for Top 5 when the market opens - just hope the odds don't get crunched in.

Noticed he's 2nd on the Phantom Brownlows count!  :o

Think he might be 5th on AFL.com's predictor too

[AaronKirk]

I cannot personally see how Shuey will outpoll Priddis let alone win the brownlow.

[jvalles69]

I cannot personally see how Shuey will outpoll Priddis let alone win the brownlow.

^This

Just got a $100 bonus bet from Crownbet, put it on Sloane for top 3 at $2.75.  With his run home barring injury, can't see him not placing.

[Big Mac]

I cannot personally see how Shuey will outpoll Priddis let alone win the brownlow.

was going to say this but i've watched barely any WC games this year and i'm positive RD has seen them all so probably has a much better idea than me

[jvalles69]

I cannot personally see how Shuey will outpoll Priddis let alone win the brownlow.

was going to say this but i've watched barely any WC games this year and i'm positive RD has seen them all so probably has a much better idea than me

I've watched every West Coast game too and have Priddis and JKK above him.  Shuey will pick up loads of 1's and a few 2's here and there, not enough to win or place IMO.

[The_Captain]

I cant see dangerfield going any less than 30 votes this year. Will see what odds are on offer after round 23, anything above 2 and its good value. Top 5 bets is where it will be at.

Eagles votes are going to be hard, Shuey, priddis, gaff and kennedy will be hard to split. Priddis had had a very poor year compared to his last 2 seasons, so i cant see him polling that well. Would have him sub 15 for sure at the moment. Wont be chucking Eagles in my team multis thats for sure.

[dmac07]

Just saw TAB has Parker $13 to win and $5 to place

$5 to place is very tempting. Most predictor polls I've seen currently have him in the Top 3

Parker is an interesting one. I have him much lower than every other predictor I've seen. But there is a lot of votes at Sydney to be shared amongst a small group Parker, JPK, Hannebery, Franklin. I have him in the 10-15th range and 10 votes off the lead.

Im cheering on Sloane who I have at 67s to win it! (Lets forget I backed Hall at 200s though)

[PowerBug]

ABC Player of the Year votes just had 3-2-1 ALL going to Melbourne players for the game. And only gave Priddis 3rd best Eagle as well (Shuey 1st)...

But Priddis will get the 3 brownlow votes won't he?

[GoLions]

ABC Player of the Year votes just had 3-2-1 ALL going to Melbourne players for the game. And only gave Priddis 3rd best Eagle as well (Shuey 1st)...

But Priddis will get the 3 brownlow votes won't he?

Depends how much the umps notice tackles. Shuey could possibly outpoll Priddis this game. I didn't see the whole game though, only some of the second half.