WXV Round 12: Saints to stand up to Rampaging Revolution?

[Purple 77]

	New York Revolution					Christchurch Saints
POS	Team Format: Traditional	SCO	MUL	ADJ	POS	Team Format: Attack	SCO	MUL	ADJ
D1	Heath Shaw	110	CC	165	D1	Liam Picken	120	1	120
D2	Josh Gibson	52	1	52	D2	Dylan Roberton	0
D3	Sam Fisher	0			D3	Sean Dempster	0
D4	Kade Kolodjashnij	143	1	143	M1	Hamish Hartlett	89	VC	89
M1	Steve Johnson	83	1	83	M2	Sam Mitchell	115	C	230
M2	Jackson Macrae	104	1	104	M3	Matthew Boyd	148	1	148
M3	Leigh Montagna	0	CC	0	M4	Luke Shuey	91	1	91
M4	Sharrod Wellingham	103	1	103	R1	Aaron Sandilands	0
R1	Mike Pyke	53	1	53	F1	Shaun McKernan	0
F1	Jarrad Waite	46	1	46	F2	Jack Steele	69	1	69
F2	Josh J Kennedy	90	1	90	F3	Dayne Zorko	0
F3	Travis Cloke	86	1	86	F4	Jamie Elliott	36	1	36
F4	Alex Sexton	66	1	66	F5	Jake Stringer	68	1	68
U1	Heath Grundy	65	1	65	U1	Tom Scully	101	1	101
U2	Jed Adcock	0			U2	Tory Dickson	59	1	59
E1	Paul Duffield	0			E1	Will Minson	98
E2	Dylan Buckley	74			E2	Jeff Garlett	89
E3	Michael Firrito	83			E3	Matthew Buntine	47
			Total	1056				Total	1011

	Pacific Islanders					London Royals
POS	Team Format: Traditional	SCO	MUL	ADJ	POS	Team Format: Traditional	SCO	MUL	ADJ
D1	Rory Laird	97	1	97	D1	Dane Rampe	92	1	92
D2	Michael Hurley	0			D2	Mark Baguley	0
D3	Jeremy Howe	26	1	26	D3	Sam Wright	84	1	84
D4	Alex Fasolo	96	1	96	D4	Adam Saad	86	1	86
M1	Michael Barlow	0			M1	Jarrad McVeigh	60	C	120
M2	Jack Redden	0			M2	Dan Hannebery	142	VC	142
M3	Michael Rischitelli	137	1	137	M3	Brent Stanton	0
M4	Cameron Guthrie	87	1	87	M4	Danyle Pearce	0
R1	Matthew Leuenberger	0			R1	Callum Sinclair	68	1	68
F1	Tom Mitchell	105	VC	105	F1	Shane Edwards	121	1	121
F2	Marcus Bontempelli	80	1	80	F2	Mark LeCras	82	1	82
F3	Devon Smith	91	1	91	F3	Chris Mayne	0
F4	Ben Howlett	0			F4	Josh Hill	58	1	58
U1	Matt Thomas	0	C	0	U1	Bradley Sheppard	63	1	63
U2	Jarrod Witts	81	1	81	U2	David Mackay	68	1	68
E1	Sam Gibson	98			E1	Tom Lonergan	68
E2	Curtly Hampton	58			E2	Zach Tuohy	119
E3	Matthew de Boer	0			E3	Daniel McStay	0
			Total	800				Total	984

	PNL Reindeers					Beijing Thunder
POS	Team Format: Traditional	SCO	MUL	ADJ	POS	Team Format: Traditional	SCO	MUL	ADJ
D1	Luke Hodge	119	1	119	D1	Harry Taylor	86	1	86
D2	Corey Enright	96	1	96	D2	Cale Hooker	0
D3	Marley Williams	107	1	107	D3	Jackson Thurlow	84	1	84
D4	Luke McPharlin	0			D4	Travis Varcoe	67	1	67
M1	Matt Priddis	116	C	232	M1	Oliver Wines	96	VC	96
M2	Nathan Jones	108	VC	108	M2	Lachie Neale	0	C	0
M3	Dylan Shiel	106	1	106	M3	Liam Shiels	124	1	124
M4	Daniel Rich	0			M4	Josh Caddy	90	1	90
R1	Matthew Lobbe	37	1	37	R1	Matthew Kreuzer	92	1	92
F1	Justin Westhoff	121	1	121	F1	Tom Bell	77	1	77
F2	Cyril Rioli	98	1	98	F2	Eddie Betts	92	1	92
F3	Dane Swan	78	1	78	F3	Timothy Broomhead	72	1	72
F4	Chad Wingard	104	1	104	F4	James Stewart	5	DNP	0
U1	Zachary Merrett	0	R	0	U1	Cameron Wood	54
U2	Jack Billings	0			U2	James Aish	0
E1	Tom T Lynch	85			E1	Touk Miller	79
E2	Farren Ray	0			E2	Sam Mayes	0
E3	Nick Malceski	46			E3	Chris Dawes	56	E	56
			Total	1206				Total	936

	Toronto Wolves					Seoul Magpies
POS	Team Format: Traditional	SCO	MUL	ADJ	POS	Team Format: Traditional	SCO	MUL	ADJ
D1	Jamie MacMillan	108	1	108	D1	Jack Newnes	0
D2	Sam Butler	61	1	61	D2	Tom Langdon	88	1	88
D3	Alan Toovey	31	1	31	D3	Jordan Roughead	25	DNP	0
D4	Matt Spangher	48	1	48	D4	Caleb Marchbank	37	1	37
M1	Scott Pendlebury	184	C	368	M1	Patrick Dangerfield	117	C	234
M2	Andrew Swallow	88	1	88	M2	Brandon Ellis	76	VC	76
M3	Ryan Griffen	119	1	119	M3	Toby Greene	80	1	80
M4	Ben Cunnington	124	1	124	M4	David Swallow	105	1	105
R1	Paddy Ryder	57	VC	57	R1	Jonathon Ceglar	46	1	46
F1	Jack Crisp	114	1	114	F1	Tom J Lynch	30	1	30
F2	Matthew Pavlich	0			F2	Jake Lloyd	104	1	104
F3	Jack Ziebell	93	1	93	F3	Brandon Matera	62	1	62
F4	Lachlan Henderson	59	1	59	F4	Caleb Daniel	65	1	65
U1	Isaac Smith	67	1	67	U1	Lachie Whitfield	79	1	79
U2	Richard Douglas	84	1	84	U2	Taylor Duryea	63	1	63
E1	Rhyce Shaw	42			E1	Trent McKenzie	43	E	43
E2	Mitch Robinson	0			E2	Cameron Sutcliffe	0
E3	Brendon Ah Chee	66			E3	Blaine Boekhorst	22
			Total	1421				Total	1112

[Purple 77]

So, I'm struggling against Buenos Aires. If you include their HGA, they are a bit over 300 points ahead with 2 extra players and their captain played. I like to think Fyfe alone can make this up. Also, Buenos Aires have an OOP player coming their way, so I think I will get there. Likely to be eliminated from world idol though  :-\

Mexico City will get it done against the Sands.

Rio doing well, but not enough to knock over the Destroyers. Unfortunately.

This is an interesting match! Tokyo seem to have the advantage over Moscow. If only Captain Dahlhaus posted a decent score, then the result wouldn't be in doubt for the Samurai. An upset could be on the cards here!

Wow! New Delhi have come to play! If you include HGA, the Tigers are 87 points ahead, same amount of players played, but New Delhi have had their captain play, and Cape Town haven't. New Delhi are looking at a 140+ score here!

A good tussle, but the Saints should get it done.

Another good tussle, but Pacific have the advantage. London can still win tho.

PNL are just showing off. Will be too strong.

TORONTO ARE BACK! Captain Pendles was huge, but still, the Wolves have had a number of awful performers, so a 150+ score is very impressive.

[Toga]

We're about 70 points behind PNL at the moment with 3 players (including our captain) to play vs their 4. A big score from Neale could see us still in it but gonna be tough.

Cape Town are loopholing JPK's score aren't they? So their skipper has played, not sure if its been counted though... NDT for an upset?

[ossie85]

Dixon continues to frustrate....

[Purple 77]

We're about 70 points behind PNL at the moment with 3 players (including our captain) to play vs their 4. A big score from Neale could see us still in it but gonna be tough.

Cape Town are loopholing JPK's score aren't they? So their skipper has played, not sure if its been counted though... NDT for an upset?

Nah haven't counted it yet... Cape Town probably gonna win :(

Dixon continues to frustrate....

This too.

[Ricochet]

Sorry New Delhi but this is going to get ugly fast.

Loopholed JPK's 143, got Blitz 110 and Cotchin is absolutely killing it.

Maybe a Champions League spot is not out of the question for us - need a big percentage boosting win though.

b!tch pls

[roo boys!]

TORONTO ARE BACK! Captain Pendles was huge, but still, the Wolves have had a number of awful performers, so a 150+ score is very impressive.

Wouldn't call that too early, have basically been carried by 4 players so while it is nice to get back to the scores I know Toronto's capable of its still danger signs with 6 scores under 70  :-\

[Nige]

Hey guys, did you hear about that time St Kilda made Luke Dunstan the sub when Cairo only had two midfielders for the week?

#justcairothings

[Hellopplz]

Just nothing going your way Cairo :(.

[Jukes]

Would be interesting to see the amount/% of times a WXV team has given up a score above a player's average for the season, if that makes sense. That'd be a great determinator of luck in this comp.

I bet I'd win it by a country mile :/

If you get a spare 10 years to figure out that stat purps I'd greatly appreciate it :P

[ossie85]

Ok, so this is the amount of times each team has played another team who scored greater than there average.

I.e. Moscow played Cairo in round 1, and Cairo scored more than they usually would = so that equals 1 time

The 2nd number is how many times the score you scored would have been enough to beat them if that team has scored its average. I.e. Cairo played New Delhi who scored more than average and lost, if New Delhi had played its average, Cairo would have won = so that equals one time

I think this is a good indicator of bad luck... though I probably explained it horribly. This round hasn't been counted.

London - 7, 3
Cairo - 7, 2
Rio de Janeiro - 7, 2
Beijing - 7, 0
Cape Town - 7, 0
New Delhi - 7, 0
Berlin - 6, 2
PNL - 6, 1
Seoul - 6, 0
Toronto - 5, 1
Dublin - 5, 0
Mexico City - 5, 0
New York - 5, 0
Pacific - 5, 0
Moscow - 4, 1
Buenos Aires - 4, 0
Christchuch - 4, 0
Tokyo - 4, 0

So six teams have played its opposition on a good day 7 times (from 11), while only 4 teams have faced there teams on a good day 4 times.

London can consider itself the most unlikely - they have lost 3 matches when there score would've been good enough to beat them if that team had an average day. Moscow, who thought they would be winning by a mile, has only played 4 above-average weeks for team, though did manage to lose one of them (Cairo). Speaking of Cairo, they have been unlucky, with those 2 losses coming against New Delhi and Buenos Aires.

Shall we flip it and measure good luck?

These are the number times each team has WON, but only because the other team was having a bad day (below average). I.e. you would have lost if that team had scored at its average or better.

1 - Beijing, Christchurch, London, Mexico City, Moscow, New York, Pacific, PNL, Seoul, Tokyo, Toronto
0 - Berlin, Buenos Aires, Cairo, Cape Town, Dublin, New Delhi, Rio de Janeiro


So... Moscow ain't that unlucky

[Nige]

Somewhat of a victim of circumstance.

Looks like I was right in saying we've been ridiculously unlucky.

I'll admit our team isn't great, but we're definitely not 1-10 bad.

[Jukes]

Great stuff, but I think you misunderstood - I meant higher than average for single players, i.e. if the other team only had Cripps, who scored 300, and Pendlebury, who scored 10, you'd be 1/2 for players scoring above their average.

7 of Tokyo's 8 players (excluding Cats and Crows, who gets their average, and sub-affected players) have scored over their average

Heppell 89x1.5 and Arma 84 at half-time is awesome tho :D

[Purple 77]

I think Moscow can thank Courtney Dempsey for his 4-quarter performance today for Tokyo.

All 2 of his points  :-\

[Jukes]

1377 + Pearce and Ballantyne, HGA of 49 included

I think I can thank my team performing well more :P