ROUND 4 TRADES

Started by Southstorm, April 19, 2015, 06:28:03 PM

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Big Mac

Quote from: Bully on April 20, 2015, 12:58:35 AM
Quote from: _wato on April 20, 2015, 12:39:37 AM
Quote from: Bully on April 20, 2015, 12:21:25 AM
I think you are correct with the estimates however 95 seems to be around the mark for all the forwards at this stage, Gray, Martin & Swan aside. At worst he puts on 100k and can then be traded to a top 6 forward. Given there are no clear contenders I find this strategy low risk, high reward. The extra 130k will be used to bring in Brodie Smith so it's a win/win.

I did some calculations and if there are no slip ups over the next few rounds he could be up around Robbie Gray's price, I have him but others may not. My plan will be to either keep him if he averages 100 or use him to get a premo ruck.

The only problem or flaw I see in choosing him for the price injection is that all it takes is for him to have a stinker next week and he goes nowhere with a high breakeven the next week which he may fail to meet and you've got a player who can't be sideways traded without using $$$ and you'd be pissed off if he didn't meet your expectations of a 95 average because then he'd become a nothing pick.
A projected score of 106 this week against Adelaide and 92 against Sydney sees him at $502k within a fortnight but even with a flow of 100's projected (112 avg over 5 weeks) it would take him until Round 10 to reach only $550k.. I'm wondering what score you have him getting to reach Gray's price because with those scores predicted, I see them as worthy and fairly considerate given the opposition he's coming up against. For that reason alone, I'm staying away and would much rather spend more $$$ to get a proven premium and save that trade you'd have to use if things went pear shaped.
I know it seems old school but I think you have to go that way in the forward line this year.

Your calculations are accurate and after two hard matches he plays St Kilda, a big score likely one would think. The thing you are overlooking is the fact that Gray will lose money now that he has a 70 in his rolling average, same with the rucks with the exception of Goldy. I even expect Buddy to throw in a stinker against Freo. Certainly if he has a poor game in the next couple of weeks then the plan goes out the window, I'm well aware of that, but I'm also aware that in an absolute worst case scenario he can be traded for Bartel in 6 weeks hopefully with some spare change.

What worries me about Bont is that he should start getting tagged out of games

Surely Weller goes to him in the Saints game?

TexR74

Got another idea for atrade:
Griffen out, Saad to MID and bring in Smith/Hodge

Is it a good idea? Which out of two should i bring in?

Jimmykidd

Gaj > pendles
Bartel > Gray.

Everyone has the bont. I think I'll pass on him. Also If Wallis back injury is bad, that midfield is looking weaker and weaker.

TexR74

Quote from: TexR74 on April 20, 2015, 08:44:38 AM
Got another idea for atrade:
Griffen out, Saad to MID and bring in Smith/Hodge

Is it a good idea? Which out of two should i bring in?
Also Lumumba could go into the mid instead of Saad, allowing me to play one of McIntosh/Oxley each week.

BomberSam

Quote from: TexR74 on April 20, 2015, 08:58:02 AM
Quote from: TexR74 on April 20, 2015, 08:44:38 AM
Got another idea for atrade:
Griffen out, Saad to MID and bring in Smith/Hodge

Is it a good idea? Which out of two should i bring in?
Also Lumumba could go into the mid instead of Saad, allowing me to play one of McIntosh/Oxley each week.

I really like your thinking! I have Griffen too but I am hesitant to move him on just yet. I can't bring myself to do it, as much as it opens the trading options up for me.

Ricochet

Quote from: LF on April 19, 2015, 06:32:50 PM
Bartel goneski
This.

Then I'm not too sure. Might hold for now

The_Captain

Quote from: Ricochet on April 20, 2015, 09:53:05 AM
Quote from: LF on April 19, 2015, 06:32:50 PM
Bartel goneski
This.

Then I'm not too sure. Might hold for now

They reckon hes gone for 4-6. Holding him is going to lose i reckon over 200-300 points of your overall total. Just depends what you value more. That amount of points or one trade.

Ricochet

Quote from: The_Captain on April 20, 2015, 09:56:53 AM
Quote from: Ricochet on April 20, 2015, 09:53:05 AM
Quote from: LF on April 19, 2015, 06:32:50 PM
Bartel goneski
This.

Then I'm not too sure. Might hold for now

They reckon hes gone for 4-6. Holding him is going to lose i reckon over 200-300 points of your overall total. Just depends what you value more. That amount of points or one trade.
I meant hold my other trade :P

ando_10

wallis will have to go due to his b/e
so im pondering what to do.

The_Captain

Quote from: Ricochet on April 20, 2015, 09:57:41 AM
Quote from: The_Captain on April 20, 2015, 09:56:53 AM
Quote from: Ricochet on April 20, 2015, 09:53:05 AM
Quote from: LF on April 19, 2015, 06:32:50 PM
Bartel goneski
This.

Then I'm not too sure. Might hold for now

They reckon hes gone for 4-6. Holding him is going to lose i reckon over 200-300 points of your overall total. Just depends what you value more. That amount of points or one trade.
I meant hold my other trade :P

Upon re reading. Makes sense now.

Good move. Im only making the bartel trade also..... For now until i talk myself into something silly lol!

RaisyDaisy

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on April 19, 2015, 11:45:25 PM
can see him burning everyone gets named but is a late out

or get green vest

Absolute ZERO chance Bont starts in Green

He flew down to Tas so it was obviously very close, and it's just a corked calf as far as we know. Should be good to go this week

Holden the ball

Quote from: TexR74 on April 20, 2015, 08:58:02 AM
Quote from: TexR74 on April 20, 2015, 08:44:38 AM
Got another idea for atrade:
Griffen out, Saad to MID and bring in Smith/Hodge

Is it a good idea? Which out of two should i bring in?
Also Lumumba could go into the mid instead of Saad, allowing me to play one of McIntosh/Oxley each week.


tex what are u thinking your actually the biggest player hater

BomberSam

Really considering upgrading Brett Goodes to a keeper, and assessing Griffen for one more week before sideways trading him to Parker when he bottoms out. I need guidance, thoughts?

RaisyDaisy

Had my heart set on getting in Sloane, but really warming to the idea of getting Goldy instead

If I get Sloane, it means I have 6 gun mids, and can only field 2 rookies, and considering CEY, Vanders, Cripps and Heeney are all scoring well, I think I am better off fielding an extra rookie mid and moving Belly to the forwards meaning I don't have to field both Salem and Clark

Feel like fielding Goldy + Rookie Mid (With added benefit of Belly cover in forwards now + Krak in mids to open DPP) outweighs Sloane + Rookie Fwd with Belly still at R2 meaning no cover

AaronKirk

The more I look at my team I think I will hold this week.

I don't have the cash to go a forward rookie to a premo ruck unless I make a mid rookie downgrade, which I'm not keen on as they still have mooing to go.