Rico's Advice Thread 2015

[Jay]

Given the expected drop in most ruckman's prices due to the new rules, is Lycett and Zac Smith a viable ruck combination for their keeper/stepping stone abilities? Have Belly up fwd as cover.

Personally I think they're a little too expensive to be a stepping stone mate. At 418k-ish they need to average 105+ to make 150k and are basically a keeper at that. I think anything less is a waste of a trade. If you can see them hitting that then jump on. The new ruck rules do concern me a little but I don't think there are enough cheap mid pricers to use as stepping stones. Don't forget that those expensive mid pricers will also be affected by the ruck rule changes

Cheers Rico, love your work. They probably are a tad expensive but none of the others interest me - including Leuey. I'm hoping that one ends up becoming a keeper and the other at least holds their value to make it a simple trade to a fallen premium. Reason I've chosen those two is because Smith has a 30% H/O to advantage ratio so the new rules will actually suit him. And then Lycett is bascally a fwd so he won't be affected either.

Just seeing so many cookie cutter teams and trying to find something different :P

[Ricochet]

http://forum.fanfooty.com.au/index.php/topic,101647.0.html
Can you give me some advice mate?

Yep no worries mate I'll have a look now

So its basically
Kennedy Cripps Cockatoo Maric
vs
Danger Steven Sinclair NicNat

Based on this its a definite win to team 2 mate. I see Danger almost = JPK and NicNat beats Maric. Steven obviously smashes a rookie so points-wise its team 2.

But if you can do those changes to team 1 you suggested (JPK to Ablett and Maric to NicNat) then I think your team is much more balanced. Also consider downgrading a defender to Goodes, he's nearly a must at his price if he's named

[Ricochet]

Hey, Rico.

Any issue in upgrading M1 from Pendlebury to Ablett if Fyfe/Beams/Parker are the other premo mids.

Would usually start with Ablett/Pendlebury but the last 3 years he's averaged 125ish, opened up at 667k+ and always fallen below 600k. Is it time to start looking at him as an upgrade target?

Cheers

So you currently have Pendles and want to bring Ablett in mate? No issues with that at all. The rest of your mids are solid as and there is a bit of uncertainty around Pies atm

Cheers Rico!

One last question, team is pretty much set in stone bar rookies. Rucks, I have NicNat/Lycett as R1/R2 with Bellchambers at F4 - Thinking NicNat/Lycett will be a good combo, both underpriced, both should never be out of the team at the same time. Lycett/TBC both provide FWD/RUC cover so can swap either out and still be left with cover. Plan would be to upgrade TBC later in the season to the #1 ruck and then have Lycett as the FWD/RUC cover as he is a beneficiary if NicNat misses a game here or there, should also average higher then TBC and would be a more handy F7/8 end of season. Thoughts?

I like the strategy mate, I'm just personally not sold on Lycett unless you are planning on keeping him for the whole season, most are using him as a stepping stone which I'm not a fan of. But you are planning on keeping him so I can't see a problem with it mate.

[Ricochet]

Any thoughts on this backline?

DEFS: K. Simpson, H. Shaw, H. Taylor, J. Newnes, H. Goddard, A. Saad, K. McIntosh, J. Hamling

Bit unsure on Taylor?

Its really too weak at the back end mate. Most will have Goodes at D5, a rookie hear is far too risky. I would downgrade Taylor to a midpricer like Ibbotson/Henderson/CPearce and upgrade your D5 to Goodes.

[elite]

Ok so comparing the two teams its
Jelwood and JPK VS Ablett and Swallow
On paper Jelwood an JPK win this but I think we need to start Ablett man. It would give you a super starting midfield.

And yes downgrade Swallow to Wells, upgrade a fwd rookie to Belly. Gives you great coverage for the rucks and would actually be an increase in points in my eyes

Thanks for that.

Defense: Kade Simpson (CARL) Heath Shaw (GWS) Jack Newnes (STK) Heritier Lumumba (MEL) Brett Goodes (WBD) Nathan Brown (COLL) Kamdyn McIntosh (RICH) Adam Saad (GCS)

Midfield: Gary Ablett (GCS) Scott Pendlebury (COLL) Nat Fyfe (FRE) Dayne Beams (BRIS) Daniel Wells (NTH) Patrick Cripps (CARL) Isaac Heeney (SYD) Aaron Vandenberg (MEL) Cam Ellis-Yolmen (ADE)  Nakia Cockatoo (GEEL) Touk Miller (GCS)

Rucks: Todd Goldstein (NTH) Nic Naitanui (WCE) Mason Cox (COLL)

Forwards: Robbie Gray (PORT) Dustin Martin (RICH) Dane Swan (COLL) Tom Bellchambers (ESS) Mitch Clark (GEE) Jesse Hogan (MEL) Tom Lamb (WCE) Kane Lambert (RICH)

This leaves me with $69,500 left which is a fair bit of salary cap left.
Swallow was so tempting due to the numbers he gets from tackles and hardball but Wells could be a bit more inside with Greenwood gone potentially.
Do I upgrade say Beams to Selwood/other mid or Goldstein to Mumford?

Cheers again for taking your time to help.

[vtaced]

Hey Rico,

Some much needed advise will be great

Defenders: Simpson, Shaw, Newnes, Lumumba, Pearce, N.Brown (Mckintosh, Saad)

Midfield: Pendelbury, Fyfe, Selwood, Dangerfield, Griffin, Miller, Henney, Vanderberg (Anderson, Ellis-Yoleman, Lambert)

Rucks: Goldstein, Maric (O'Brien)

Forwards: Gray, Franklin, Martin, Salem, Clark, Hogan (Lonie, Lamb)

$15,700 left over.

Also contemplating Boak or Heppel as a replacement for Griffin

[Ricochet]

Hi Richo

I would like to get your thoughts, have changed it about 1000 times, but finally think i am there

Defenders: HIBBERD, Michael , NEWNES, Jack (MID), KOLODJSHNIJ, Kade , IBBOSTON, Garrick , GOODES, Brett , MCINTOSH, Kamdyn , HAMLING, Joel , SAAD, Adam (MID)

Midfielders: ABLETT, Gary , PENDLEBURY, Scott , BARLOW, Michael , MARTIN, Dustin (FWD), SWALLOW, Andrew , RICH, Daniel , VAN Berlo, Nathan, CRIPPS, Patrick , HEENEY, Isaac , ELLIS-YOLMEN, Cam , LAMBERT, Kane (FWD)

Rucks: MINSON, Will , NAITANUI, Nic , COX, Mason

Forwards: BARTEL, Jimmy , GODDARD, Brendon (MID), SWAN, Dane (MID), BELLCHAMBERS, Tom (RUC), SALEM, Christian , CLARK, Mitch , KARNEZIS, Patrick , HOGAN, Jesse

Remaining Salary: 26600

DEF: Some interesting POD picks here but structure is perfect mate. No a huge fan of Kolo as a pick but back yourself in there. Rookies are fine at this stage. Also consider NBrown for JS reasons

MIDS: Top 3 picks are perfect mate. I'm personally not a fan of starting a premo fwd in the middle, if your looking for a dpp link then use rookies. I'd move Dusty into the fwd line and upgrade that M4 to a top end premo mid. Also on Swallow, at his price he needs to ave 110+ to make 150k and at that becomes a keeper. If you can see that then back him in, if not then he is too expensive for a stepping stone and is a waste of a trade later on. Rookies are fine, but you could probably go Rich down to a Newton/Sheed/Cockatoo for extra cash.

RUCKS are fine mate, nothing wrong here. Belly gives you great cover

FWDS Structurally perfect mate and rookies are fine too. Good line

[Ricochet]

Given the expected drop in most ruckman's prices due to the new rules, is Lycett and Zac Smith a viable ruck combination for their keeper/stepping stone abilities? Have Belly up fwd as cover.

Personally I think they're a little too expensive to be a stepping stone mate. At 418k-ish they need to average 105+ to make 150k and are basically a keeper at that. I think anything less is a waste of a trade. If you can see them hitting that then jump on. The new ruck rules do concern me a little but I don't think there are enough cheap mid pricers to use as stepping stones. Don't forget that those expensive mid pricers will also be affected by the ruck rule changes

Cheers Rico, love your work. They probably are a tad expensive but none of the others interest me - including Leuey. I'm hoping that one ends up becoming a keeper and the other at least holds their value to make it a simple trade to a fallen premium. Reason I've chosen those two is because Smith has a 30% H/O to advantage ratio so the new rules will actually suit him. And then Lycett is bascally a fwd so he won't be affected either.

Just seeing so many cookie cutter teams and trying to find something different :P

Thanks man. Thats fair enough, personally not a fan of using them as a stepping stone but back yourself in there. I'd also seriously consider NicNat though, he's seriously underpriced

Good luck mate :)

[Nathaneph]

Ibbo and belly (f4) vs Simpson and hogan

[Ricochet]

Ok so comparing the two teams its
Jelwood and JPK VS Ablett and Swallow
On paper Jelwood an JPK win this but I think we need to start Ablett man. It would give you a super starting midfield.

And yes downgrade Swallow to Wells, upgrade a fwd rookie to Belly. Gives you great coverage for the rucks and would actually be an increase in points in my eyes

Thanks for that.

Defense: Kade Simpson (CARL) Heath Shaw (GWS) Jack Newnes (STK) Heritier Lumumba (MEL) Brett Goodes (WBD) Nathan Brown (COLL) Kamdyn McIntosh (RICH) Adam Saad (GCS)

Midfield: Gary Ablett (GCS) Scott Pendlebury (COLL) Nat Fyfe (FRE) Dayne Beams (BRIS) Daniel Wells (NTH) Patrick Cripps (CARL) Isaac Heeney (SYD) Aaron Vandenberg (MEL) Cam Ellis-Yolmen (ADE)  Nakia Cockatoo (GEEL) Touk Miller (GCS)

Rucks: Todd Goldstein (NTH) Nic Naitanui (WCE) Mason Cox (COLL)

Forwards: Robbie Gray (PORT) Dustin Martin (RICH) Dane Swan (COLL) Tom Bellchambers (ESS) Mitch Clark (GEE) Jesse Hogan (MEL) Tom Lamb (WCE) Kane Lambert (RICH)

This leaves me with $69,500 left which is a fair bit of salary cap left.
Swallow was so tempting due to the numbers he gets from tackles and hardball but Wells could be a bit more inside with Greenwood gone potentially.
Do I upgrade say Beams to Selwood/other mid or Goldstein to Mumford?

Cheers again for taking your time to help.

Yeh I only see a gap of 10-15 points between Swallow and Wells, but a 20+ pts increase from Rookie up to Bellchambers so thats why i went that way man.

I'd keep the cash on hand to fix up rookies when they are named. Might need to go Miller up to someone else or a fwd rookie up to Salem

[Ricochet]

Hey Rico,

Some much needed advise will be great

Defenders: Simpson, Shaw, Newnes, Lumumba, Pearce, N.Brown (Mckintosh, Saad)

Midfield: Pendelbury, Fyfe, Selwood, Dangerfield, Griffin, Miller, Henney, Vanderberg (Anderson, Ellis-Yoleman, Lambert)

Rucks: Goldstein, Maric (O'Brien)

Forwards: Gray, Franklin, Martin, Salem, Clark, Hogan (Lonie, Lamb)

$15,700 left over.

Also contemplating Boak or Heppel as a replacement for Griffin

DEF: Great top end picks mate and Lumumba is great value. I would go Pearce to Goodes mate, Goodes can produce premo numbers and is much cheaper. Rookies are fine

MIDS: Great premo picks here mate, and love the Danger pick. Not sold on Griff completely but he could be great value . ROokies are fine but be carefull with Miller, when GaJ and Jaeger come back in he may be pushed out.

RUCKS Perfect mate, but need some ruck cover imo. Either keep cash on hand to upgrade R3 to the best available rookie when teams are named, or bring Belly into your fwd line.

FWD: Great line mate, structurally perfect and can't fault your picks.

[Ricochet]

Ibbo and belly (f4) vs Simpson and hogan

Ibbo and Belly mate. Ibbo will go 85+ and Ibbo has potential to be a top10ish defender. Also Belly gives you great ruck cover

[NickyBoy]

DEFS: Shaw, Gibson, Newnes, Lumumba,  Goodes, Saad (Hamling, Mcintosh)
MIDS: Selwood, Sidebottom, Barlow, Parker, Griffen, Cripps, Vandernberg, CEY (Heeny, Miller Lambert)
RUCKS: Maric, Goldy (Read)
FWDS: Bartel, Martin, Swan, Salem, Hogan, Clark (Daniel, Lamb)
Cash remaining: $249,500.

How should I spend the rest of the money?

I think your missing one or two more 120+ mids man. I'd upgrade one of Sidey or Parker to Rocky/GAJ/Pendles/Fyfe. Other than that you could look at going Miller to Cockatoo, CDaniel to Karnezis and Hamling to NBrown.

DEFS: Shaw, Gibson, Newnes, Lumumba,  Goodes, Saad (Brown, Mcintosh)
MIDS: Ablett, Fyfe, Selwood, Parker, Griffen, Cripps, Cockatoo, CEY (Heeny, Steele, Lambert)
RUCKS: Maric, Goldy (Read)
FWDS: Bartel, Martin, Swan, Salem, Hogan, Clark (Karnezis, Lamb)
Cash remaining: $24,900.

I think the team looks pretty set. What's your opinion?

[Ricochet]

DEFS: Shaw, Gibson, Newnes, Lumumba,  Goodes, Saad (Hamling, Mcintosh)
MIDS: Selwood, Sidebottom, Barlow, Parker, Griffen, Cripps, Vandernberg, CEY (Heeny, Miller Lambert)
RUCKS: Maric, Goldy (Read)
FWDS: Bartel, Martin, Swan, Salem, Hogan, Clark (Daniel, Lamb)
Cash remaining: $249,500.

How should I spend the rest of the money?

I think your missing one or two more 120+ mids man. I'd upgrade one of Sidey or Parker to Rocky/GAJ/Pendles/Fyfe. Other than that you could look at going Miller to Cockatoo, CDaniel to Karnezis and Hamling to NBrown.

DEFS: Shaw, Gibson, Newnes, Lumumba,  Goodes, Saad (Brown, Mcintosh)
MIDS: Ablett, Fyfe, Selwood, Parker, Griffen, Cripps, Cockatoo, CEY (Heeny, Steele, Lambert)
RUCKS: Maric, Goldy (Read)
FWDS: Bartel, Martin, Swan, Salem, Hogan, Clark (Karnezis, Lamb)
Cash remaining: $24,900.

I think the team looks pretty set. What's your opinion?

Yep love that mate

[JMFCB]

Richo

I've got $545000 for 1 Mid - Your thoughts Wines Vs Griffen or other?

Also not good with terminology (very old and computer illiterate)

POD?
JS Reasons?

Thanks heaps