Travis Boak Over Selwood

Started by Desired7, February 24, 2015, 08:12:26 PM

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eaglesman

Selwood to miss the top 10 this year

-- my big call

Torpedo10

Quote from: eaglesman on March 21, 2015, 07:59:13 PM
Selwood to miss the top 10 this year

-- my big call
Got anything to bet on it with?  :P

eaglesman

Quote from: Torpedo10 on March 21, 2015, 08:01:46 PM
Quote from: eaglesman on March 21, 2015, 07:59:13 PM
Selwood to miss the top 10 this year

-- my big call
Got anything to bet on it with?  :P

Would have some money on if a betting agency offered it .... More than happy not picking him to start with I am

Big Mac

Quote from: eaglesman on March 21, 2015, 08:06:47 PM
Quote from: Torpedo10 on March 21, 2015, 08:01:46 PM
Quote from: eaglesman on March 21, 2015, 07:59:13 PM
Selwood to miss the top 10 this year

-- my big call
Got anything to bet on it with?  :P

Would have some money on if a betting agency offered it .... More than happy not picking him to start with I am

Good to know the 50k will be slightly easier to win this year

RaisyDaisy

Quote from: eaglesman on March 21, 2015, 07:59:13 PM
Selwood to miss the top 10 this year

-- my big call

I'll give you 5:1

Min bet $500

tor01doc

Quote from: Desired7 on March 21, 2015, 05:53:47 PM
Quote from: Desired7 on February 24, 2015, 08:12:26 PM
Thoughts? I think Boak will have a stella season this year,


Thoughts now after a month??? I'm taking a risk on it.because selwood ussualy doesn't go to well against the Hawks which will make his break even high and cause him to drop in price. Upgrade target for
Me

Duckwood ave vs Hawks last 9 games = 119. Not that bad vs his average against all comers of 120.

honza

Quote from: Torpedo10 on March 21, 2015, 08:01:46 PM
Quote from: eaglesman on March 21, 2015, 07:59:13 PM
Selwood to miss the top 10 this year

-- my big call
Got anything to bet on it with?  :P

My 3 banger futures multi this year has Boak for Brownlow on one leg... $50k

Best year long entertainment you can get for 10 bucks

aussied

check out Bloodwoods 1st 4 games for the season avg for a last few years ;)   those who do not start him beware!

however i am trying to fit boak in as well. will finish of the season M7-M8

Desired7

thought about it a bit better, and looked at his scores when Angus, hartlett and wingard all play together with Boak, his scores decrease, but when Angus didnt play R4 R7(I Think) Boak went 150 in both occasions.

So it really is up to what happens with the ASADA atm, but for now ive gone JPK over selwood, I think he will start well.

is this a more logical opinion. Thoughts?

eaglesman

Quote from: Desired7 on March 22, 2015, 11:54:50 AM
thought about it a bit better, and looked at his scores when Angus, hartlett and wingard all play together with Boak, his scores decrease, but when Angus didnt play R4 R7(I Think) Boak went 150 in both occasions.

So it really is up to what happens with the ASADA atm, but for now ive gone JPK over selwood, I think he will start well.

is this a more logical opinion. Thoughts?

I love kennedy ... And I will back him to beat Selwood .... The only concern I have with him is that when mitchell was in the side his scores seemed to be influenced ... Now we don't really have a massive amount of data to see if this was just coincidence or there is something in this small trend so at this stage I would ignore it ... But that is the slightest concern I have with jpk

strikes91

When I think of boak in supercoach I just picture the games where he gets tagged out of it with scores of 60

YoungGun

Quote from: eaglesman on March 21, 2015, 07:59:13 PM
Selwood to miss the top 10 this year

-- my big call

i like it! i read somewhere that ''influence'' points are less this year. That has to take a big chunk off duckwoods average i reckon, and i really hope it does

eaglesman

Quote from: YoungGun on March 22, 2015, 03:41:09 PM
Quote from: eaglesman on March 21, 2015, 07:59:13 PM
Selwood to miss the top 10 this year

-- my big call

i like it! i read somewhere that ''influence'' points are less this year. That has to take a big chunk off duckwoods average i reckon, and i really hope it does

Exactly my reasoning ... He will drop ... Just my opinion ... Let's see what happens

Ricochet

Influence points are only down on x4 to x2. It won't have that much impact on averages at all

GoLions

I think Boaky is a real shot at the Brownlow this year.

I'd be surprised if he got within 10ppg of Jelwood.