Sneaky chance for the Brownlow?

[Noz]

Do you guys reckon Dayne Beams has a chance at the brownlow?

[Kellogscrunchynut]

My first though would be that Swan would take too many votes from him, but there are games where he has been the best on ground and
also many games that he could pick up 1 or 2 votes so yes I believe he could be a dark horse.

[Spinking]

Has played very well this season, but as mentioned above too many votes going to Swanny, and also Sidey and Pendles.

[meow meow]

5 weeks ago:

Y'all don't need to worry about all this. The top 3 will be Watson, Thompson and Beams. The end.

Nothing has changed.

[Capper]

i think that Swan, Pendles may have taken some of the 3 votes off him, Stanton would have done the same to Watson and Danger to Thomo.

Watson the current leader, just imo

[Jay]

Beams wont win...swan pendles etc stealing votes

[meow meow]

2011: Swan won't win. Pendles and Thomas will steal too many votes  ::)

[Noz]

Went through all of Collingwoods games and gave the 3.2.1 accordingly.

Round 1
3. Lance Franklin
2. Scott Pendlebury
1. Sam Mitchell

Round 2
3. Brett Deledio
2. Scott Pendlebury
1. Dane Swan

Round 3
3. Chris Judd
2. Marc Murphy
1. Andrew Carrazzo or Eddie Betters

Round 4
3. Dane Swan
2. Scott Pendlebury
1. Kane Cornes or Harry O'Brien

Round 5
3. Dane Swan
2. Dayne Beams
1.  Scott Pendlebury or Sam Lonergan

Round 6
3. Dayne Beams
2. Scott Pendlebury
1. Ryan Griffen

Round 7
3. Scott Pendlebury
2. Steele Sidebottom
1. Dane Swan

Round 8
3. Joel Selwood
2. Steele Sidebottom
1. Scott Pendlebury

Round 9
3. Dayne Beams
2. Steele Sidebottom
1. Dale Thomas or Patrick Dangerfield

Round 10
3. Gary Ablett
2. Dale Thomas
1. Dayne Beams

Round 11
3. Dane Swan
2. Dayne Beams
1. Steele Sidebottom or Jarryd Blair

Round 13
3. Dayne Beams
2. Dane Swan
1. Daniel Kerr

Round 14
3. Michael Barlow
2. Dane Swan
1. Dayne Beams or Darren Jolly or Matthew Pavlich

Round 15
3. Chris Judd
2. Dane Swan
1. Brock McLean

Round 16
3. James Kelly
2. Dane Swan
1. Scott Pendlebury

Round 17
3. Sam Mitchell
2. Jordan Lewis
1. Dane Swan

Tally
Dane Swan - 20
Dayne Beams - 15
Scott Pendlebury - 15

[upthemaidens]

Do you guys reckon Dayne Beams has a chance at the brownlow?

probably not,  ive got him at about 5-6 votes short of watson atm.. so he would need atleast 10 more votes to have any real chance.. maybe worth a punt for top 3 , but even thats only a slim chance

[Spinking]

Nice work Noz. It obviously a bit of guesswork, but gives a clearer picture on this. Cheers.

[Noz]

Nice work Noz. It obviously a bit of guesswork, but gives a clearer picture on this. Cheers.

Yeah it is guess work might also work out Watson, Ablett and Thompson's points at this stage and put a bit of money on who i have in front

Jobe Watson   $5.00
Scott Thompson  $5.50
Gary Ablett           $7.00
Dane Swan           $9.00

Massive smokey apart from Dayne Beams ($34) is Josh Kennedy ($26) some great value there from both men especially Kennedy who should poll most 3 votes in the early part of the season, I have Kennedy so far on 19 votes my real outside chance to win it. Should poll against the Suns, Carlton and Bulldogs then all he needs to do is have a blinder against one of Collingwood/Hawthorn and Geelong and he should be placed nicely.

[Noz]

My current leader board

1. Scott Thompson - 22
2. Jobe Watson - 21
3. Gary Ablett - 20
   Dane Swan - 20
4. Josh Kennedy - 19
5. Dayne Beams - 15
   Scott Pendlebury - 15


*This is only guess work and i am only doing the guys i reckon have a shot

[meow meow]

I would have given Beams 3 against GC. Ablett had 5000 possessions but Beams was a standout. He's a goalkicking midfielder, which umpires love.

[Noz]

Would still put Thomas ahead of Beams

Thomas - 32 touches 20 contested possessions, 11 Clearances and 3 goals
Beams - 32 touches 16 contested possessions, 7 Clearances an 1 goal

Then you could argue that Thomas was playing on Ablett who did get 53 touches so that could improve Beams chance more to get the 3 votes.

[BB67th]

I only have Beams on about 11 - 13 votes in my count from memory. I have Swan taking more votes from him than what you have.