Jobe Watson

Started by essendon2, March 06, 2012, 08:31:26 PM

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What will Jobe average?

113+
108-113
102-107
96-101
90-95

jabroni

Quote from: Jukes on March 06, 2012, 08:33:46 PM
I reckon he'll average about a consistent 5-7 points less then Stanton, and I reckon Stants is in for a 118 average, meaning Jobe will probably top the 110 average. I'm going Stants and not Jobe, however I reckon Jobe is in for a great season and will captain a premiership.






only swan avg more than 118 last year so this seems pretty optimistic

Ziplock

swan and ablett are like the only players to ever average over 118 lol

TheMailman

Quote from: Ziplock on March 06, 2012, 10:32:25 PM
swan and ablett are like the only players to ever average over 118 lol


Justin Bieber

Your on fire MM haha

essendon2

Stanton will average 110+
jobe will average 105-110 - but is worth it at 492k

Grannyboy

Quote from: Jukes on March 06, 2012, 09:56:48 PM
Stanton;
*Averaged 81 when he was 19/20, so been a DT gun from the offset.
*Improving team in Bombers.
*Watson and Heppell will cop the tag before him.
*Average has increased every year in his career of 8 seasons except 1 where it dropped 1.4 points.
*Has missed 6 games in the last 6 years; the two last season were due to a cracked shoulder.
*Kick to handball ratio from 2011 is 1.8:1; last season he kicked more then handballed in every game; against North Melbourne he made 21 kicks and 1 handball.
*Has a relatively easy draw. Plays NM, Port and GC first three rounds.
*His average would be 112 if he hadn't cracked his shoulder against West Coast and gotten subbed off for 34.
*Has evolved into a leader at the bombers, one of the senior players, who the youth players will look to apart from Watto.
*Only topped 30 possessions in a game 4 times last season to average 106. Lots of marks and tackles. If he can see more of the ball his average will skyrocket. E.g. scored 155 from 28 possessions against Collingwood.
*Massive ceiling; topped 150 twice last season and 130 twice also.
*Will be unique. Under 1% of teams have him.
*Cheaper then most premiums but will score similar if not more. Could average 120 if he gets the ball more.
*From round 13 onward last season after he recovered from his cracked shoulder he popped 9 tonnes in 12 games; the other three were 98, 93 and 87.
*Is having a good pre-season apparently. Bulked up a bit.
*Hits 26 in May so is quite young and reaching the DT peak years.
*Before his bye round he only plays teams from last years top 8 4 times; Collingwood (scored 155 against them last year), Eagles (At Etihad, sub-affected 34 and 109 ), Carlton (122 and 93) and Sydney (87 and 112).
*In the DT finals he plays North (107), Carlton (see above), Richmond (69 recovering from cracked shoulder and 135) and Collingwood (108 and 155). Will score massive in DT grand final. All 4 of these games in Melbourne, 3 at the MCG, his highest scoring venue, and the other at Etihad, his second highest scoring venue.
*Not much chance of resting, with the 4th through 10th spots to be quite close this season.
*17 of his 22 games are at either Etihad or the MCG, his two highest scoring venues.
That's some nice research Jukes, you almost persuaded me to put him in, almost.

essendon2

Stanton will average more than Jobe

azza707

#22
i think people aren't really looking into watson closely enough.

watson has never had a history of hamstring injures and this is the first time he has had trouble with them. Jobe has missed 7 games out of a possible 110 between 2006 and 2010. Then he did a hammy last year, and was rushed back way too early, as mentioned before due to essendon being in a form slump and pushing to get their best player back, and as a result he strained it again. The season ended in September and now it’s March, so I’d say there is a very very low risk of him doing it again.

plus watson was also subbed out of 3 games last year. it says he averaged 99.6, but he averaged 59 in the 3 games he was subbed out of, meaning that he actually averaged 112.5 over the whole season. i think thats pretty impressive still for someone who was rushed back and no where near his best. He was unable to get out an space as often as he did earlier in the year taking less marks per game and only kicking 4 more goals after round 7. It was clear he had to adjust his game with the hamstring worries, and his fantasy scoring suffered as a result of this. Also averaged 117 from rounds 1 to 7

I am also expecting melksham and ben howlett to become much improved players this year, and add heppell on top of that, i think it will only help watson and stanton out in the middle.

I'm looking for a bit of value for money in my 4th mid, rather than a straight out 550k mid. players like watson, stanton and gibbs are high on my list atm.