Anthony Trade?

[lovepelican]

I, like most people it seems, have been considering the Anthony for Beams/Zakka conundrum and have decided, based on the logic below NOT to trade. Are there flaws in my logic? Any comments appreciated.

Firstly, I have assumed that rookies peak after 8 games roughly (shorter if
crap like Hill).

The main pro for doing the trade IMO is that rookie mids generally average higher
and thus make you more money and quicker and there are more downgrade targets in later rounds.

However, it is unlikely, unless I get two injuries/suspensions that either player would be gracing my team (already have Otten as cover who looks reasonable). So purely a cash decision which will not directly affect my total points.

However, I don’t think it is worth burning a trade because…..

……I have 3 backs (Broughton,Hill,Suban), 2 mids (Rich,Otten), 2 rucks
(White/Jacobs) and 2 forwards (Brown,Walker) who are currently all playing
and will all peak in value in Rnds 8-10 (assuming they continue to play).
As such, at the time Beams/Zakka are ripe for the selling, I will have
another 9 potential rookies also ripe for selling and you can’t sell them all at the
same time! A possible trade strategy (Rookies only ignoring the undoubted
injuries) is:

Rnd 8: Sell one of Hill/Broughton/Suban and Upgrade
Rnd 9: Sell Otten and Upgrade (noting by that time Anthony will be providing cover, hopefully)
Rnd 10: Sell Walker or Brown and Upgrade
Rnd 11: Sell one of the remaining Hill/Broughton/Suban and Upgrade
Rnd 12: Sell one of the remaining Walker or Brown (possibly even White/Jacobs) and Upgrade
etc

So sell 5 of the 9 (so should have enough that will have peaked).

Whilst this is going on, Rnd 6, Anthony is no longer “stressed”. He has
some indecent photos of Laidley so can bribe selection, and then proceeds
to average the same as Beams/Zakka are currently getting.

Rnd 13/14: Anthony peaks and is ripe for selling at same price as
Beams/Zakka , who I never got around to ditching as I had other cash cows to
cull.

Conclusion: same net cash, same points (as never counted in my 22 anyway) and one more trade!

[Prospector_1]

Pelican, I really like the photos part - seems apt for North.

When you see them, pls. post a link here

[tony73]

Theory sounds good but I traded him last week and have 3 mid rookies killing it, Rich, Danger, Otten. Otten came in. I now have 10 rookies playing well as well as hurley injured and when I start trading them out Anthony comes back in ,if after his third game actually playing he looks OK as a mid season cash cow that still puts him 6-7 weeks away and I get to look at him before his price goes up!

[peanut]

I have come up with almost exactly the same theory. I have the same bench as you (instead robinson over otten, cheney over hill).

anthony could end up being this years razzle dazzle, and I'm not going to be one of the clowns who traded him out just to make some cash.

I'm on board pelican, anthony must remain!

[peanut]

no offence tony73, I was one click away from doing the same as you last week!

[tony73]

none taken,
I spent all my cash and am looking for cash cows now and also playing rookies round 7-8 to replace the currents. I see Anthony coming back in as a sure playing rookie. you may say it has cost 2 trades but I consider it only one as it would have been some other rookie anyway that may not even be playing

[Godees]

Great theory pelican, you just saved me a trade my friend..makes sense

Go Dees, watch out for the birth of the next biggest thing this saturday night for Casey, Jack Watts will be a star

[lovepelican]

Great theory pelican, you just saved me a trade my friend..makes sense

Go Dees, watch out for the birth of the next biggest thing this saturday night for Casey, Jack Watts will be a star

Cheers Godees, although I am still not convinced myself. A lot rests on no injuries and Otten staying in the team (which he should) and of course Anthony both playing and staying in the team (not that certain).

[Godees]

I watched otten on the weekend and he goes alright, who do they have to come back in, he gets the ball and uses it pretty well, im hoping to ride him till about 350- 400k if he averages 80 then upgrade..anthony is a tough one, any other team than the kangas i would be happy but laidley is a sc nightmare..if he hasnt played by rd 10 then there will be another rookie cash cow who will come along to trade for..

Go Dees

[Bomber Rock]

Every time a see a post from you Go Dees, i keep thinking of that stupid Niki Office Furniture ad on SEN!!

[jkvel1]

lovepelican, this is the best piece of thinking i have seen on these boards so i thought id give ya the props and say thanks for solving my anthony problem!