How do I win my first round final?

[Bluke]

The top 4 in my league is set in stone. I am placed 3rd and will play 2nd. I out scored him all season and beat him in the one game we played.

                    Head-to-Head

His team                  My Team

Defenders               Defenders
Hodge 108.53                        Hodge 108.53
Goddard 111.88                     Scotland 97.88
Gilbert 95.12                          Gilbert 95.12
Malceski 90.24                       Malceski 90.25
Waters 86.12                         Duffield 89.35
Shaw 81.27                            Enright 89.12
Broughton 86.8                      Carrazzo 87.88

Strijk 59.8                              Webberley 59.62
Davies 0                                 Strijk 59.8

Midfielders                Midfielders
Montagna 113.76                    Montagna 113.76
Ablett 118.75 (C)                     Ablett 118.75 (C)
Cornes 102.65                        Goddard 111.88
Boyd 115.8                              Cornes 102.65
Watson 96.53                         Judd 106
Mitchell 99.15                          Ball 91

Stevenson 66                         Armstrong 63.11
Shuey 65                                Shuey 65

Rucks                       Rucks
Sandilands 98.41                   Sandilands 98.41
Cox 83.18                              Cox 83.18

Warnock 50.67                      Warnock 50.67
Lobbe 30.33                          Lobbe 30.33

Forwards                 Forwards
Chapman 117.25                   Goodes 94.82
Didak 96.94                           Pavlich 92.82
Giansiracusa 90                    Giansiracusa 90
OKeefe 89.47                       OKeefe 89.47
Podsiadly 84.21                    Podsiadly 84.21
Brown 84.08                         Brennan 84.46
Fyfe 66.33                            Brown 84.08  

Hitchcock 50.77                    Fyfe 66.33   
Wonaeamirri 57                   Davis 50.83

If all his players score their avg he will score 2235.22

If all my players score their avg I will score 2222.36

My Question to all of you is

How do I guarantee I beat this guy and progress to the Semi final?

I have 4 trades and 18,900 in the bank. Saving 2 trades for the grand final and am prepared to burn two trades next week in the lead up to game.

I am assuming he has at least 4 trades remaining but maybe as many as six. Ive been keeping track of his team and he has held a number injured players and has traded in some time.

[Bluke]

Potential trades are Webberley to 77k guy

Podsiadly to Chapman (provided he is rested this week) I wont trade him in if he isnt rested this week.

I really want Swan.. obviously he doesnt have him and he will probably try and trade him in. Unfortunately there is no way I can afford him unless his price drops.

Otherwise I could go Ball to Boyd

[Justin Bieber]

Webbs to a 77k rookie sounds good. Have Strijk for cover while getting a load of cash.

If Pods can't score this week, seems the perfect upgrade guy to get the edge. Chappy could be rested this week but might be again next week :-\. Gonna have to wait and see about him.

Ball to Boyd won't gain you as much as others could this time of year. Ball could go on a roll come the run home as Collingwood are fighting for minor premiership. Or he will get himself hit in the head ::).