Moloney or Embley vs Rookies?

Started by blues boy, February 27, 2013, 08:44:07 PM

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Jukes

Take all three haha, all are great picks imo for 2013.

Embers should average 83-88, which could fluctuate depending on his role; if Woosha uses him frequently as an impact player, his average will likely drop a fair bit due to vests. If he doesn't and lets him roam free on the ball, could go 90+. Reckon he should rise to about 450k when his BE tops out.

Moloney is a safer pick imo, should almost certainly go 85-89 but could go higher if utilised correctly by Voss. That should see him top out at about hopefully 470k, meaning he will increase in price less than Embley but will top out faster and at a slightly higher price.

Wines meanwhile should average 76-84. Could be anywhere between there, is a super fantasy scorer but if his role changes throughout the season could cost him points. Reckon he'll rise to something like 400k. This obviously means he will rise in money easily more than Embers and Moloney, but won't score quite as high while he's in your team. Will be the highest scoring sub-200k player for 2013.

So I'd go Embers and Wines if purely focussing on cash rise. All other things considered, I'd probably look at Moloney and Wines, although I'd strongly consider having all three as M5, M6 and M7.

Hagebear

Quote from: blues boy on February 27, 2013, 10:15:50 PM
Quote from: Hagebear on February 27, 2013, 10:13:25 PM
Quote from: blues boy on February 27, 2013, 10:09:35 PM
Quote from: Hagebear on February 27, 2013, 10:07:29 PM
Quote from: blues boy on February 27, 2013, 10:01:08 PM
Do you reckon embley has less potential then wines in scoring and price rise?

Yeh Moloney and Wines for me. I think Wines will definately score more then Vlatsuin and Wines has much better JS. And I think stick with Harts. Could be an awesome POD if he stays fit.

BIG if but the only other player i would go to is grimes who is also a BIG if

Yeh I guess with most POD's comes a big IF. Grimes obviously has last years form under his belt while I think Hartlett has the potential to go 100+. Probably not this year though. Grimes would get my nod out if the 2 if you can afford him.

Can afford grimes with $30,000 to spare if i go
Embley ---> Wines
Docherty or Stevenson(depends on NAB form) ----> Vlastiun

I think Docherty will go well. Massive wraps on him at Brissy. Not sure about Stephenson. Alot of people vying for his spot, so if u can go Stephenson to Vlatsuin that's a win.

Hagebear

And keep an eye out on Terlich from Melbourne. I think has really good JS and is 108k.

blues boy

Quote from: Jukes on February 27, 2013, 10:19:49 PM
Take all three haha, all are great picks imo for 2013.

Embers should average 83-88, which could fluctuate depending on his role; if Woosha uses him frequently as an impact player, his average will likely drop a fair bit due to vests. If he doesn't and lets him roam free on the ball, could go 90+. Reckon he should rise to about 450k when his BE tops out.

Moloney is a safer pick imo, should almost certainly go 85-89 but could go higher if utilised correctly by Voss. That should see him top out at about hopefully 470k, meaning he will increase in price less than Embley but will top out faster and at a slightly higher price.

Wines meanwhile should average 76-84. Could be anywhere between there, is a super fantasy scorer but if his role changes throughout the season could cost him points. Reckon he'll rise to something like 400k. This obviously means he will rise in money easily more than Embers and Moloney, but won't score quite as high while he's in your team. Will be the highest scoring sub-200k player for 2013.

So I'd go Embers and Wines if purely focussing on cash rise. All other things considered, I'd probably look at Moloney and Wines, although I'd strongly consider having all three as M5, M6 and M7.

Well now i have Moloney at M5, Wines at M6 and O'meara at M7

Holz

Quote from: blues boy on February 27, 2013, 10:01:08 PM
Do you reckon embley has less potential then wines in scoring and price rise?

defintately not less potential in scoring, wines is a rookie a 75 average i would be happy with.

Embley 85 average 260k to 430k = 170k rise
Wines 75 avergae 150k to 375k = 225k rise
Moloney 90 average 300k to 450k = 150k rise

thats the prices based of the pricing of averages with a small drop due to the magig number dropping.

now thats the full increase so i would change that to 75% of the rise.

Embley 128k rise, Wines 169k rise, Moloney 113k rise.

saying that i have all 3.

wines will likely make about 30-40k more than embley but should score 10+ more a week so depending on his role he might be the better pickup. really depends how you utilise the 110k price difference.