How much Money is a trade worth? in relation to cashcow midpriced trades

[Colliwobblers]

Hi again all, when discussing teams and players I see a lot of guys talking about mid priced players and how they might do as well as expensive rooks.

The point of this question is to answer how much money do you need to make off a mid priced player or a rookie to justify the trade.

For example Treloar at $104000 starting price, come round 15 he has gone up to $207000 for me thats a good rookie outcome and trade for that profit is a success (obviously whether or not a player has reached thier ceiling makes a huge difference in relation to when to trade them, with a BE of 17 your not trading them yet, with a BE of 112 they are gone) but HOW MUCH do you think needs to be made in profit off a cash cow or mid priced player you are using to make money to get premiums to make it worthwhile.

I used $100K as a guide last year, and when looking at midpriced players this year my thoughts are, I'll take the ones I believe will be keepers and I'll take the ones I can make at least $100K off, but I won't take anything inbetween.

Your thoughts ?

[Ziplock]

basically, if they pull a 90+ average as a back/ fwd, I'm  happy.

for the mids, it really depends, you want them to really increase their avg. by at least 15 points.

The thing is, the difference between a rookie, and a breaking out midpricer, can be huge. Like, the best high end rookie will probably only avg. low 70s, while a midpricer, while not being a keeper, might pump out high 90s- 100.

that's a substantial amount of points when it all adds up.

[rebird]

It's a case of diminishing returns.

Trades early in the season can potentially reap you greater rewards, with increased points over more rounds. So early trades might be worth $100K.

Trades later in the season potentially reap smaller rewards so might be worth $150K.

(or is it the other way around?).

[Lions01]

When trading in Rookies the main goal is to trade 2 Rookies for 1Premium and another Rookie. To achieve this ideally you want to make about 150k on each rookie, that allows you to get a premium for around 400K and another Rookie for 100K (obviously not all rookies are going to make this amount)

Keep in mind thou the higher “Magic Number” will make Rookie value increase even more than previous years, and a fallen premium will cost more then 400K this year

I believe a Mid-Pricer  true value is in a saved trade. When I bring in a Mid-Pricer it’s as a potential keeper. If you’re looking to make money there is a whole lot less risk in Rookies. 

[Kuruki]

For me it's worthwhile anytime i can flick them for a premium. Yes maybe i miss out on an extra 40k i could have made waiting for them to hit peak, but money in the bank is not going to win me this weeks league match. I need points on the paddock.

I pick mid price's who i think will become keepers. Thats the risk i take. If they dont make it, i have missed out on an opportunity to make more cash with a rookie. But i also take into account, that my mid pricer was a guaranteed start every week. He has scored me more points then a rook.  And he is one downgraded rookie away from a premium.
I dont think there is a uniform answer across the board, i think you just have to look at each situation and trade on it's own merit.

[Colliwobblers]

For me it's worthwhile anytime i can flick them for a premium. Yes maybe i miss out on an extra 40k i could have made waiting for them to hit peak, but money in the bank is not going to win me this weeks league match. I need points on the paddock.

I pick mid price's who i think will become keepers. Thats the risk i take. If they dont make it, i have missed out on an opportunity to make more cash with a rookie. But i also take into account, that my mid pricer was a guaranteed start every week. He has scored me more points then a rook.  And he is one downgraded rookie away from a premium.
I dont think there is a uniform answer across the board, i think you just have to look at each situation and trade on it's own merit.

+1 Kuruki that well said, I am after a generic figure (mine $100k that people think is a rookie trade in value i guess or a trade up on the likes of windy and lake and brown and christensen if theyve gone up 100K or so but arent giving you premium scores)

Again you make a good point tho.

[AndrewY]

From another tangent why not look for rookies as keepers?
Eg; Suckling, Puopolo, Stanley, S. Martin, Duigan, Heppell types from last year.
No need to upgrade unless your premium spread causes havoc mid season.
Not easy but with all the analysis available the potential "lucky" pick is a chance.

[Ziplock]

suckling and martin weren't rookies. And few of those players were 'keepers' just last upgrades.